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icon for Paraíba Senate Election: 1st Place

Paraíba Senate Election: 1st Place

icon for Paraíba Senate Election: 1st Place

Paraíba Senate Election: 1st Place

Joao Azevêdo 72%

Veneziano 15%

Rinaldo Júnior 3.7%

Dr. Marcelo Queiroga 3.1%

Polymarket
NEW

Joao Azevêdo 72%

Veneziano 15%

Rinaldo Júnior 3.7%

Dr. Marcelo Queiroga 3.1%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Joao Azevêdo

Joao Azevêdo

$1,094 Vol.

72%

icon for Veneziano

Veneziano

$146 Vol.

15%

icon for Rinaldo Júnior

Rinaldo Júnior

$100 Vol.

4%

icon for Dr. Marcelo Queiroga

Dr. Marcelo Queiroga

$84 Vol.

3%

icon for Major Fábio

Major Fábio

$73 Vol.

3%

icon for Nabor

Nabor

$122 Vol.

1%

icon for João Batista

João Batista

$145 Vol.

1%

icon for Rosilene Santana

Rosilene Santana

$213 Vol.

1%

icon for André Gadelha

André Gadelha

$103 Vol.

1%

icon for Adriano Trajano

Adriano Trajano

$144 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).João Azevêdo (PSB) leads trader consensus for first place in Paraíba’s October 4, 2026, Senate contest at 70.5 percent after resigning the governorship in April to enter the race. Recent closure of candidacies has confirmed a crowded field that includes incumbent Veneziano Vital do Rêgo (MDB), former Health Minister Marcelo Queiroga (PL), and Major Fábio (Novo). Azevêdo’s broad coalition backing, high name recognition as the outgoing executive, and consistent polling leads of 30–60 points across multiple surveys since spring have consolidated support ahead of registered rivals. Lower-priced contenders face structural barriers from vote fragmentation and limited early momentum, while the election timeline leaves room for late shifts in turnout or alliances.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$2,224
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).João Azevêdo (PSB) leads trader consensus for first place in Paraíba’s October 4, 2026, Senate contest at 70.5 percent after resigning the governorship in April to enter the race. Recent closure of candidacies has confirmed a crowded field that includes incumbent Veneziano Vital do Rêgo (MDB), former Health Minister Marcelo Queiroga (PL), and Major Fábio (Novo). Azevêdo’s broad coalition backing, high name recognition as the outgoing executive, and consistent polling leads of 30–60 points across multiple surveys since spring have consolidated support ahead of registered rivals. Lower-priced contenders face structural barriers from vote fragmentation and limited early momentum, while the election timeline leaves room for late shifts in turnout or alliances.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$2,224
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Paraíba Senate Election: 1st Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Joao Azevêdo" at 72%, followed by "Veneziano" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 72¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Paraíba Senate Election: 1st Place" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Paraíba Senate Election: 1st Place," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Paraíba Senate Election: 1st Place" is "Joao Azevêdo" at 72%, meaning the market assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Veneziano" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Paraíba Senate Election: 1st Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.