Recent polling from Quaest and Consult shows incumbent Styvenson Valentim holding a clear lead for one Senate seat in Rio Grande do Norte, while the contest for second place remains tightly contested among Zenaide Maia, Samanda de Lula, Rafael Motta, and Coronel Hélio. High shares of undecided voters (23-33%) and blank/null intentions keep separation limited, with second-preference data highlighting Coronel Hélio's strength in some scenarios. These surveys, conducted in August 2026, reflect the open nature of the second vacancy and limited recent campaign developments that could consolidate support behind any single challenger before the October election. Trader pricing aligns with this competitive dynamic for second place.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRafael Motta 31.6%
Styvenson Valentim 23.1%
Samanda de Lula 23%
Zenaide Maia 22%
$13,203 Vol.
$13,203 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Rafael Motta
32%
Styvenson Valentim
23%
Samanda de Lula
23%
Zenaide Maia
30%
Luciana Mandu
12%
Coronel Hélio
4%
Rosália Fernandes
1%
Professor Guilherme
1%
Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós
1%
Tércio Tinôco
<1%
Gari Wendell Batista
<1%
Linhares Jiboia
<1%
Sandro Pimentel
<1%
Sonia Godeiro
<1%
Rafael Motta 31.6%
Styvenson Valentim 23.1%
Samanda de Lula 23%
Zenaide Maia 22%
$13,203 Vol.
$13,203 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Rafael Motta
$688 Vol.
32%
Styvenson Valentim
$1,304 Vol.
23%
Samanda de Lula
$5,297 Vol.
23%
Zenaide Maia
$2,062 Vol.
30%
Luciana Mandu
$428 Vol.
12%
Coronel Hélio
$362 Vol.
4%
Rosália Fernandes
$477 Vol.
1%
Professor Guilherme
$315 Vol.
1%
Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós
$378 Vol.
1%
Tércio Tinôco
$457 Vol.
<1%
Gari Wendell Batista
$406 Vol.
<1%
Linhares Jiboia
$377 Vol.
<1%
Sandro Pimentel
$347 Vol.
<1%
Sonia Godeiro
$307 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Quaest and Consult shows incumbent Styvenson Valentim holding a clear lead for one Senate seat in Rio Grande do Norte, while the contest for second place remains tightly contested among Zenaide Maia, Samanda de Lula, Rafael Motta, and Coronel Hélio. High shares of undecided voters (23-33%) and blank/null intentions keep separation limited, with second-preference data highlighting Coronel Hélio's strength in some scenarios. These surveys, conducted in August 2026, reflect the open nature of the second vacancy and limited recent campaign developments that could consolidate support behind any single challenger before the October election. Trader pricing aligns with this competitive dynamic for second place.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ET
Volume
$13,203End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Quaest and Consult shows incumbent Styvenson Valentim holding a clear lead for one Senate seat in Rio Grande do Norte, while the contest for second place remains tightly contested among Zenaide Maia, Samanda de Lula, Rafael Motta, and Coronel Hélio. High shares of undecided voters (23-33%) and blank/null intentions keep separation limited, with second-preference data highlighting Coronel Hélio's strength in some scenarios. These surveys, conducted in August 2026, reflect the open nature of the second vacancy and limited recent campaign developments that could consolidate support behind any single challenger before the October election. Trader pricing aligns with this competitive dynamic for second place.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$13,203End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from Quaest and Consult shows incumbent Styvenson Valentim holding a clear lead for one Senate seat in Rio Grande do Norte, while the contest for second place remains tightly contested among Zenaide Maia, Samanda de Lula, Rafael Motta, and Coronel Hélio. High shares of undecided voters (23-33%) and blank/null intentions keep separation limited, with second-preference data highlighting Coronel Hélio's strength in some scenarios. These surveys, conducted in August 2026, reflect the open nature of the second vacancy and limited recent campaign developments that could consolidate support behind any single challenger before the October election. Trader pricing aligns with this competitive dynamic for second place.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions