Mauro Mendes (União Brasil), the former governor of Mato Grosso, leads trader consensus for first place in the state's two-seat Senate election due to consistent polling leads in late August 2026 surveys. Recent Quaest and Paraná Pesquisas data place him ahead in first-vote and combined scenarios, with Janaina Riva (MDB) as the clearest challenger and a cluster of others—including José Medeiros (PL), Pedro Taques (PSB), and Carlos Fávaro (PSD)—further behind. High undecided shares (around 25%) and voter flexibility noted in the polls underscore the still-fluid race ahead of the October 4 vote. These trends reflect Mendes' established statewide profile and early campaign positioning, which have shaped market probabilities more than any single late-breaking development.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMauro Mendes 68%
Janaina Riva 18.0%
Jose Medeiros 8.7%
Beny Godoy 4.0%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Mauro Mendes
68%
Janaina Riva
18%
Jose Medeiros
9%
Beny Godoy
4%
Margareth Buzetti
4%
Pedro Taques
4%
Fávaro
4%
Galvan
2%
Coronel Darwin
2%
Professor Nelson Ferreira
1%
Mauro Mendes 68%
Janaina Riva 18.0%
Jose Medeiros 8.7%
Beny Godoy 4.0%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Mauro Mendes
$7,919 Vol.
68%
Janaina Riva
$267 Vol.
18%
Jose Medeiros
$103 Vol.
9%
Beny Godoy
$93 Vol.
4%
Margareth Buzetti
$79 Vol.
4%
Pedro Taques
$64 Vol.
4%
Fávaro
$378 Vol.
4%
Galvan
$167 Vol.
2%
Coronel Darwin
$114 Vol.
2%
Professor Nelson Ferreira
$135 Vol.
1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Mauro Mendes (União Brasil), the former governor of Mato Grosso, leads trader consensus for first place in the state's two-seat Senate election due to consistent polling leads in late August 2026 surveys. Recent Quaest and Paraná Pesquisas data place him ahead in first-vote and combined scenarios, with Janaina Riva (MDB) as the clearest challenger and a cluster of others—including José Medeiros (PL), Pedro Taques (PSB), and Carlos Fávaro (PSD)—further behind. High undecided shares (around 25%) and voter flexibility noted in the polls underscore the still-fluid race ahead of the October 4 vote. These trends reflect Mendes' established statewide profile and early campaign positioning, which have shaped market probabilities more than any single late-breaking development.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Volume
$9,317End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Mauro Mendes (União Brasil), the former governor of Mato Grosso, leads trader consensus for first place in the state's two-seat Senate election due to consistent polling leads in late August 2026 surveys. Recent Quaest and Paraná Pesquisas data place him ahead in first-vote and combined scenarios, with Janaina Riva (MDB) as the clearest challenger and a cluster of others—including José Medeiros (PL), Pedro Taques (PSB), and Carlos Fávaro (PSD)—further behind. High undecided shares (around 25%) and voter flexibility noted in the polls underscore the still-fluid race ahead of the October 4 vote. These trends reflect Mendes' established statewide profile and early campaign positioning, which have shaped market probabilities more than any single late-breaking development.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$9,317End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mauro Mendes (União Brasil), the former governor of Mato Grosso, leads trader consensus for first place in the state's two-seat Senate election due to consistent polling leads in late August 2026 surveys. Recent Quaest and Paraná Pesquisas data place him ahead in first-vote and combined scenarios, with Janaina Riva (MDB) as the clearest challenger and a cluster of others—including José Medeiros (PL), Pedro Taques (PSB), and Carlos Fávaro (PSD)—further behind. High undecided shares (around 25%) and voter flexibility noted in the polls underscore the still-fluid race ahead of the October 4 vote. These trends reflect Mendes' established statewide profile and early campaign positioning, which have shaped market probabilities more than any single late-breaking development.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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