Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 16–17°C in Munich on August 30 under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and dew points around 12–14°C. This reflects a mild air mass and limited nocturnal radiative cooling despite clear intervals. The closely matched market probabilities around 12–15°C highlight trader emphasis on forecast uncertainty in short-range guidance, including potential model spreads in boundary-layer mixing and cloud evolution that could allow slightly stronger cooling than current consensus. Historical August minima average near 12.6°C, providing context for the spread, while official resolution depends on the precise station measurement amid stable high pressure.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Munich on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Munich on August 30?
12°C or below 42%
14°C 31%
15°C 30%
16°C 25%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
12°C or below
42%
13°C
27%
14°C
31%
15°C
30%
16°C
25%
17°C
10%
18°C
7%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
12°C or below 42%
14°C 31%
15°C 30%
16°C 25%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
12°C or below
$0 Vol.
42%
13°C
$10 Vol.
27%
14°C
$0 Vol.
31%
15°C
$0 Vol.
30%
16°C
$0 Vol.
25%
17°C
$17 Vol.
10%
18°C
$5 Vol.
7%
19°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$16 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 16–17°C in Munich on August 30 under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and dew points around 12–14°C. This reflects a mild air mass and limited nocturnal radiative cooling despite clear intervals. The closely matched market probabilities around 12–15°C highlight trader emphasis on forecast uncertainty in short-range guidance, including potential model spreads in boundary-layer mixing and cloud evolution that could allow slightly stronger cooling than current consensus. Historical August minima average near 12.6°C, providing context for the spread, while official resolution depends on the precise station measurement amid stable high pressure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$63End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 16–17°C in Munich on August 30 under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and dew points around 12–14°C. This reflects a mild air mass and limited nocturnal radiative cooling despite clear intervals. The closely matched market probabilities around 12–15°C highlight trader emphasis on forecast uncertainty in short-range guidance, including potential model spreads in boundary-layer mixing and cloud evolution that could allow slightly stronger cooling than current consensus. Historical August minima average near 12.6°C, providing context for the spread, while official resolution depends on the precise station measurement amid stable high pressure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$63End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 16–17°C in Munich on August 30 under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and dew points around 12–14°C. This reflects a mild air mass and limited nocturnal radiative cooling despite clear intervals. The closely matched market probabilities around 12–15°C highlight trader emphasis on forecast uncertainty in short-range guidance, including potential model spreads in boundary-layer mixing and cloud evolution that could allow slightly stronger cooling than current consensus. Historical August minima average near 12.6°C, providing context for the spread, while official resolution depends on the precise station measurement amid stable high pressure.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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