The overwhelming market consensus for a 32°C daily high in Busan on August 29 stems from official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting afternoon maxima in the 28–33°C range, consistent with late-summer subtropical conditions featuring high humidity, southwest flow, and limited cloud cover during peak heating hours. Model consensus and real-time observations through midday support this outcome, with traders viewing the probability of deviation as negligible given the narrow resolution thresholds. Stronger-than-expected precipitation or persistent marine layer could cap temperatures below 32°C, while clearer skies or delayed rainfall might push readings higher, though current guidance and historical climatology for the period favor the locked-in result.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on August 29?
Highest temperature in Busan on August 29?
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$50,412 Vol.
$50,412 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$50,412 Vol.
$50,412 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
26°C or below
$542 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$15,170 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,166 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$3,576 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$3,660 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$9,324 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$5,753 Vol.
100%
33°C
$6,334 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$2,520 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$996 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$371 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The overwhelming market consensus for a 32°C daily high in Busan on August 29 stems from official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting afternoon maxima in the 28–33°C range, consistent with late-summer subtropical conditions featuring high humidity, southwest flow, and limited cloud cover during peak heating hours. Model consensus and real-time observations through midday support this outcome, with traders viewing the probability of deviation as negligible given the narrow resolution thresholds. Stronger-than-expected precipitation or persistent marine layer could cap temperatures below 32°C, while clearer skies or delayed rainfall might push readings higher, though current guidance and historical climatology for the period favor the locked-in result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$50,412End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The overwhelming market consensus for a 32°C daily high in Busan on August 29 stems from official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting afternoon maxima in the 28–33°C range, consistent with late-summer subtropical conditions featuring high humidity, southwest flow, and limited cloud cover during peak heating hours. Model consensus and real-time observations through midday support this outcome, with traders viewing the probability of deviation as negligible given the narrow resolution thresholds. Stronger-than-expected precipitation or persistent marine layer could cap temperatures below 32°C, while clearer skies or delayed rainfall might push readings higher, though current guidance and historical climatology for the period favor the locked-in result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$50,412End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The overwhelming market consensus for a 32°C daily high in Busan on August 29 stems from official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting afternoon maxima in the 28–33°C range, consistent with late-summer subtropical conditions featuring high humidity, southwest flow, and limited cloud cover during peak heating hours. Model consensus and real-time observations through midday support this outcome, with traders viewing the probability of deviation as negligible given the narrow resolution thresholds. Stronger-than-expected precipitation or persistent marine layer could cap temperatures below 32°C, while clearer skies or delayed rainfall might push readings higher, though current guidance and historical climatology for the period favor the locked-in result.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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