Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum near 32–33°C on August 29, 2026, driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea and Guangdong coast that sustains mainly cloudy skies with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms while permitting brief sunny intervals and high humidity of 65–95%. Light to moderate west-southwesterly winds limit mixing, and sea-surface temperatures near 27°C maintain elevated heat content consistent with late-summer climatology. The near-certain market pricing at 32°C reflects this narrow expected range. An unusually prolonged or intense shower band could suppress the peak below 32°C, whereas clearer skies or stronger subsidence would allow readings to reach 33–34°C before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 29?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 29?
32°C 99.8%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$126,785 Vol.
$126,785 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 99.8%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$126,785 Vol.
$126,785 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
29°C or below
$2,564 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$19,384 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$12,389 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$27,469 Vol.
100%
33°C
$22,376 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$26,637 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$6,413 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$1,994 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$2,985 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$2,274 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$2,301 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum near 32–33°C on August 29, 2026, driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea and Guangdong coast that sustains mainly cloudy skies with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms while permitting brief sunny intervals and high humidity of 65–95%. Light to moderate west-southwesterly winds limit mixing, and sea-surface temperatures near 27°C maintain elevated heat content consistent with late-summer climatology. The near-certain market pricing at 32°C reflects this narrow expected range. An unusually prolonged or intense shower band could suppress the peak below 32°C, whereas clearer skies or stronger subsidence would allow readings to reach 33–34°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$126,785End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum near 32–33°C on August 29, 2026, driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea and Guangdong coast that sustains mainly cloudy skies with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms while permitting brief sunny intervals and high humidity of 65–95%. Light to moderate west-southwesterly winds limit mixing, and sea-surface temperatures near 27°C maintain elevated heat content consistent with late-summer climatology. The near-certain market pricing at 32°C reflects this narrow expected range. An unusually prolonged or intense shower band could suppress the peak below 32°C, whereas clearer skies or stronger subsidence would allow readings to reach 33–34°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$126,785End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum near 32–33°C on August 29, 2026, driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea and Guangdong coast that sustains mainly cloudy skies with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms while permitting brief sunny intervals and high humidity of 65–95%. Light to moderate west-southwesterly winds limit mixing, and sea-surface temperatures near 27°C maintain elevated heat content consistent with late-summer climatology. The near-certain market pricing at 32°C reflects this narrow expected range. An unusually prolonged or intense shower band could suppress the peak below 32°C, whereas clearer skies or stronger subsidence would allow readings to reach 33–34°C before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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