**Persistent monsoon rains and thunderstorms over Metro Manila have kept daytime temperatures suppressed, aligning with the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) official forecast of a 24–27°C range for August 29.** Multiple real-time observations and model runs show cloud cover, high humidity near 90–98%, and southwest winds preventing significant warming, with hourly data consistently capping peaks near 27°C (approximately 80–81°F). This strong observational and forecast consensus underpins the market’s overwhelming 99.5% implied probability for 27°C as the daily maximum. The primary risk to this outcome would be a brief clearing that allows localized heating above the forecast envelope or a post-event revision in official recorded highs from PAGASA stations, though current conditions and model agreement make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Manila on August 29?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 29?
27°C 99.4%
28°C <1%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
$46,079 Vol.
$46,079 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
99%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 99.4%
28°C <1%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
$46,079 Vol.
$46,079 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
23°C or below
$301 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$301 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$7,782 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$15,259 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$6,604 Vol.
99%
28°C
$7,055 Vol.
1%
29°C
$3,425 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$2,391 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,493 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,116 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$606 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent monsoon rains and thunderstorms over Metro Manila have kept daytime temperatures suppressed, aligning with the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) official forecast of a 24–27°C range for August 29.** Multiple real-time observations and model runs show cloud cover, high humidity near 90–98%, and southwest winds preventing significant warming, with hourly data consistently capping peaks near 27°C (approximately 80–81°F). This strong observational and forecast consensus underpins the market’s overwhelming 99.5% implied probability for 27°C as the daily maximum. The primary risk to this outcome would be a brief clearing that allows localized heating above the forecast envelope or a post-event revision in official recorded highs from PAGASA stations, though current conditions and model agreement make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volume
$46,079End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:59 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent monsoon rains and thunderstorms over Metro Manila have kept daytime temperatures suppressed, aligning with the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) official forecast of a 24–27°C range for August 29.** Multiple real-time observations and model runs show cloud cover, high humidity near 90–98%, and southwest winds preventing significant warming, with hourly data consistently capping peaks near 27°C (approximately 80–81°F). This strong observational and forecast consensus underpins the market’s overwhelming 99.5% implied probability for 27°C as the daily maximum. The primary risk to this outcome would be a brief clearing that allows localized heating above the forecast envelope or a post-event revision in official recorded highs from PAGASA stations, though current conditions and model agreement make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$46,079End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:59 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent monsoon rains and thunderstorms over Metro Manila have kept daytime temperatures suppressed, aligning with the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) official forecast of a 24–27°C range for August 29.** Multiple real-time observations and model runs show cloud cover, high humidity near 90–98%, and southwest winds preventing significant warming, with hourly data consistently capping peaks near 27°C (approximately 80–81°F). This strong observational and forecast consensus underpins the market’s overwhelming 99.5% implied probability for 27°C as the daily maximum. The primary risk to this outcome would be a brief clearing that allows localized heating above the forecast envelope or a post-event revision in official recorded highs from PAGASA stations, though current conditions and model agreement make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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