Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological authorities project a daily maximum of precisely 31°C in Beijing on August 29 under clear skies, light westerly winds, and low precipitation probability, aligning with multiple numerical weather models and establishing the market's near-certain consensus at that level. Current observations show afternoon temperatures approaching this threshold amid typical late-summer radiative heating, with no significant frontal systems or moisture advection expected to alter the outcome. Historical August baselines around 30–32°C provide climatological support, though traders note that resolution hinges on verified station data rather than forecasts alone. An unforecasted increase in cloud cover or localized cooling could theoretically shift the reading, but model agreement and stable synoptic patterns make such deviations improbable before market close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on August 29?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 29?
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$56,906 Vol.
$56,906 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$56,906 Vol.
$56,906 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
25°C or below
$692 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$3,942 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$6,708 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$3,740 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$5,790 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$7,920 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$10,758 Vol.
100%
32°C
$8,447 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$6,628 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$1,273 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$1,007 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological authorities project a daily maximum of precisely 31°C in Beijing on August 29 under clear skies, light westerly winds, and low precipitation probability, aligning with multiple numerical weather models and establishing the market's near-certain consensus at that level. Current observations show afternoon temperatures approaching this threshold amid typical late-summer radiative heating, with no significant frontal systems or moisture advection expected to alter the outcome. Historical August baselines around 30–32°C provide climatological support, though traders note that resolution hinges on verified station data rather than forecasts alone. An unforecasted increase in cloud cover or localized cooling could theoretically shift the reading, but model agreement and stable synoptic patterns make such deviations improbable before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$56,906End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological authorities project a daily maximum of precisely 31°C in Beijing on August 29 under clear skies, light westerly winds, and low precipitation probability, aligning with multiple numerical weather models and establishing the market's near-certain consensus at that level. Current observations show afternoon temperatures approaching this threshold amid typical late-summer radiative heating, with no significant frontal systems or moisture advection expected to alter the outcome. Historical August baselines around 30–32°C provide climatological support, though traders note that resolution hinges on verified station data rather than forecasts alone. An unforecasted increase in cloud cover or localized cooling could theoretically shift the reading, but model agreement and stable synoptic patterns make such deviations improbable before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$56,906End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological authorities project a daily maximum of precisely 31°C in Beijing on August 29 under clear skies, light westerly winds, and low precipitation probability, aligning with multiple numerical weather models and establishing the market's near-certain consensus at that level. Current observations show afternoon temperatures approaching this threshold amid typical late-summer radiative heating, with no significant frontal systems or moisture advection expected to alter the outcome. Historical August baselines around 30–32°C provide climatological support, though traders note that resolution hinges on verified station data rather than forecasts alone. An unforecasted increase in cloud cover or localized cooling could theoretically shift the reading, but model agreement and stable synoptic patterns make such deviations improbable before market close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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