**Trader consensus at 100% for a 32°C high reflects real-time meteorological observations and model consensus from Shenzhen's official stations showing a daily peak near this level.** Hourly data indicate temperatures climbing from morning lows around 28–29°C to afternoon maxima of 32–33°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with southwest winds and high humidity (75–90%), consistent with late-August subtropical conditions in the region. Multiple forecasts and live reports from agencies align on this narrow band, with no significant model spread or unexpected intensification from regional patterns. The 32°C outcome is further supported by the day's timing—resolution likely based on the official maximum recorded before evening cooling—and historical climatology for Shenzhen in late summer, where highs typically average near 32°C. Realistic challenges remain limited but include minor measurement discrepancies across stations or a brief unforecasted spike, though current data and the advanced hour on August 29 make these improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 29?
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$41,384 Vol.
$41,384 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$41,384 Vol.
$41,384 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus at 100% for a 32°C high reflects real-time meteorological observations and model consensus from Shenzhen's official stations showing a daily peak near this level.** Hourly data indicate temperatures climbing from morning lows around 28–29°C to afternoon maxima of 32–33°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with southwest winds and high humidity (75–90%), consistent with late-August subtropical conditions in the region. Multiple forecasts and live reports from agencies align on this narrow band, with no significant model spread or unexpected intensification from regional patterns. The 32°C outcome is further supported by the day's timing—resolution likely based on the official maximum recorded before evening cooling—and historical climatology for Shenzhen in late summer, where highs typically average near 32°C. Realistic challenges remain limited but include minor measurement discrepancies across stations or a brief unforecasted spike, though current data and the advanced hour on August 29 make these improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions