Traders have converged on a 30°C high for Wuhan on August 29 with near-certainty because official station observations and short-range model guidance from the China Meteorological Administration show daytime maximums reaching but not surpassing this threshold under partly cloudy, humid subtropical conditions typical of late August in the Yangtze basin. Current readings hover near 29–31°C amid light northerly flow and high humidity, aligning with ensemble forecasts that limit further heating through modest cloud cover and lack of strong insolation. A late-day surge from localized convection or clearer skies allowing extra solar input could still nudge readings higher, though the narrow remaining window and consistent model consensus make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 29?
30°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$45,709 Vol.
$45,709 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
30°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$45,709 Vol.
$45,709 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have converged on a 30°C high for Wuhan on August 29 with near-certainty because official station observations and short-range model guidance from the China Meteorological Administration show daytime maximums reaching but not surpassing this threshold under partly cloudy, humid subtropical conditions typical of late August in the Yangtze basin. Current readings hover near 29–31°C amid light northerly flow and high humidity, aligning with ensemble forecasts that limit further heating through modest cloud cover and lack of strong insolation. A late-day surge from localized convection or clearer skies allowing extra solar input could still nudge readings higher, though the narrow remaining window and consistent model consensus make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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