Trader consensus on a 36°C peak for Guangzhou on August 29, 2026, aligns with current observational data and ensemble forecasts from regional meteorological models. Afternoon temperatures have climbed steadily to 34–35°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds and high humidity, consistent with late-summer subtropical conditions influenced by monsoon patterns and regional sea-surface temperatures. Official monitoring shows no rapid intensification signals or clear-sky amplification that would push readings to 37°C or higher before evening cooling. This market-implied outcome reflects aggregated assessments of model consensus and historical analogs for the date, where maxima typically fall in the mid-30s. A sudden shift in steering flow reducing cloud cover or delayed precipitation could still allow an upward revision before final readings are recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 29?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 29?
36°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$49,053 Vol.
$49,053 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
100%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
36°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$49,053 Vol.
$49,053 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
31°C or below
$1,100 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$2,321 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$2,894 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$8,656 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$6,638 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$7,899 Vol.
100%
37°C
$6,862 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$8,052 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$4,077 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$295 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$258 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on a 36°C peak for Guangzhou on August 29, 2026, aligns with current observational data and ensemble forecasts from regional meteorological models. Afternoon temperatures have climbed steadily to 34–35°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds and high humidity, consistent with late-summer subtropical conditions influenced by monsoon patterns and regional sea-surface temperatures. Official monitoring shows no rapid intensification signals or clear-sky amplification that would push readings to 37°C or higher before evening cooling. This market-implied outcome reflects aggregated assessments of model consensus and historical analogs for the date, where maxima typically fall in the mid-30s. A sudden shift in steering flow reducing cloud cover or delayed precipitation could still allow an upward revision before final readings are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$49,053End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on a 36°C peak for Guangzhou on August 29, 2026, aligns with current observational data and ensemble forecasts from regional meteorological models. Afternoon temperatures have climbed steadily to 34–35°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds and high humidity, consistent with late-summer subtropical conditions influenced by monsoon patterns and regional sea-surface temperatures. Official monitoring shows no rapid intensification signals or clear-sky amplification that would push readings to 37°C or higher before evening cooling. This market-implied outcome reflects aggregated assessments of model consensus and historical analogs for the date, where maxima typically fall in the mid-30s. A sudden shift in steering flow reducing cloud cover or delayed precipitation could still allow an upward revision before final readings are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$49,053End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on a 36°C peak for Guangzhou on August 29, 2026, aligns with current observational data and ensemble forecasts from regional meteorological models. Afternoon temperatures have climbed steadily to 34–35°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds and high humidity, consistent with late-summer subtropical conditions influenced by monsoon patterns and regional sea-surface temperatures. Official monitoring shows no rapid intensification signals or clear-sky amplification that would push readings to 37°C or higher before evening cooling. This market-implied outcome reflects aggregated assessments of model consensus and historical analogs for the date, where maxima typically fall in the mid-30s. A sudden shift in steering flow reducing cloud cover or delayed precipitation could still allow an upward revision before final readings are recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions