Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and private models centers Denver’s August 31 high in the low-to-mid 80s, with NWS guidance near 86 °F under mostly cloudy skies and a 40–50 % chance of afternoon thunderstorms. Increased moisture and cloud cover from a typical late-summer monsoon pattern are expected to cap insolation and produce localized cooling via rain and evaporative effects, keeping the peak below the 88–90 °F levels seen earlier in the weekend. Historical late-August normals near 81 °F provide context, while model runs show limited spread once afternoon convection timing is accounted for. Updated NWS briefings and high-resolution model outputs through the weekend remain the key variables that could shift probabilities among the tightly grouped 80–85 °F bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on August 31?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 31?
82-83°F 32%
84-85°F 26%
80-81°F 24%
78-79°F 20%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
24%
82-83°F
32%
84-85°F
26%
86-87°F
10%
88-89°F
7%
90°F or higher
6%
82-83°F 32%
84-85°F 26%
80-81°F 24%
78-79°F 20%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
71°F or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
20%
80-81°F
$2 Vol.
24%
82-83°F
$2 Vol.
32%
84-85°F
$61 Vol.
26%
86-87°F
$21 Vol.
10%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
7%
90°F or higher
$0 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and private models centers Denver’s August 31 high in the low-to-mid 80s, with NWS guidance near 86 °F under mostly cloudy skies and a 40–50 % chance of afternoon thunderstorms. Increased moisture and cloud cover from a typical late-summer monsoon pattern are expected to cap insolation and produce localized cooling via rain and evaporative effects, keeping the peak below the 88–90 °F levels seen earlier in the weekend. Historical late-August normals near 81 °F provide context, while model runs show limited spread once afternoon convection timing is accounted for. Updated NWS briefings and high-resolution model outputs through the weekend remain the key variables that could shift probabilities among the tightly grouped 80–85 °F bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$86End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and private models centers Denver’s August 31 high in the low-to-mid 80s, with NWS guidance near 86 °F under mostly cloudy skies and a 40–50 % chance of afternoon thunderstorms. Increased moisture and cloud cover from a typical late-summer monsoon pattern are expected to cap insolation and produce localized cooling via rain and evaporative effects, keeping the peak below the 88–90 °F levels seen earlier in the weekend. Historical late-August normals near 81 °F provide context, while model runs show limited spread once afternoon convection timing is accounted for. Updated NWS briefings and high-resolution model outputs through the weekend remain the key variables that could shift probabilities among the tightly grouped 80–85 °F bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$86End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and private models centers Denver’s August 31 high in the low-to-mid 80s, with NWS guidance near 86 °F under mostly cloudy skies and a 40–50 % chance of afternoon thunderstorms. Increased moisture and cloud cover from a typical late-summer monsoon pattern are expected to cap insolation and produce localized cooling via rain and evaporative effects, keeping the peak below the 88–90 °F levels seen earlier in the weekend. Historical late-August normals near 81 °F provide context, while model runs show limited spread once afternoon convection timing is accounted for. Updated NWS briefings and high-resolution model outputs through the weekend remain the key variables that could shift probabilities among the tightly grouped 80–85 °F bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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