**Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and GFS ensembles consistently project a daily maximum near 22°C for Amsterdam on August 29, 2026, amid persistent cloud cover, southwest winds, and scattered showers that limit daytime warming.** This aligns closely with the long-term average high of 21.2°C and recent similar conditions, producing strong trader consensus around that threshold. Official observations through mid-afternoon show readings in the low-20s Celsius without signs of further rise. A late surge above 23°C or an anomalously cool pocket dropping the high to 21°C or below would require significant forecast errors, which current model agreement and ongoing rain make improbable before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 29?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 29?
22°C 99.6%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
17°C or below <1%
$34,622 Vol.
$34,622 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 99.6%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
17°C or below <1%
$34,622 Vol.
$34,622 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
17°C or below
$425 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$397 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$399 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$3,459 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$5,067 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$8,740 Vol.
100%
23°C
$7,804 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$5,062 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,038 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$786 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$445 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and GFS ensembles consistently project a daily maximum near 22°C for Amsterdam on August 29, 2026, amid persistent cloud cover, southwest winds, and scattered showers that limit daytime warming.** This aligns closely with the long-term average high of 21.2°C and recent similar conditions, producing strong trader consensus around that threshold. Official observations through mid-afternoon show readings in the low-20s Celsius without signs of further rise. A late surge above 23°C or an anomalously cool pocket dropping the high to 21°C or below would require significant forecast errors, which current model agreement and ongoing rain make improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$34,622End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and GFS ensembles consistently project a daily maximum near 22°C for Amsterdam on August 29, 2026, amid persistent cloud cover, southwest winds, and scattered showers that limit daytime warming.** This aligns closely with the long-term average high of 21.2°C and recent similar conditions, producing strong trader consensus around that threshold. Official observations through mid-afternoon show readings in the low-20s Celsius without signs of further rise. A late surge above 23°C or an anomalously cool pocket dropping the high to 21°C or below would require significant forecast errors, which current model agreement and ongoing rain make improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$34,622End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and GFS ensembles consistently project a daily maximum near 22°C for Amsterdam on August 29, 2026, amid persistent cloud cover, southwest winds, and scattered showers that limit daytime warming.** This aligns closely with the long-term average high of 21.2°C and recent similar conditions, producing strong trader consensus around that threshold. Official observations through mid-afternoon show readings in the low-20s Celsius without signs of further rise. A late surge above 23°C or an anomalously cool pocket dropping the high to 21°C or below would require significant forecast errors, which current model agreement and ongoing rain make improbable before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions