Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and a moist southwesterly flow are suppressing daytime heating in Paris on August 29, 2026, keeping the maximum temperature aligned with official forecasts around 21–23 °C. Numerical weather models from Météo-France and global ensembles show limited insolation under overcast skies, with surface winds of 15–25 km/h further moderating the thermal response; this places the daily high well below the 1991–2020 climatological average of ~24 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the 68.5 % implied probability for 22 °C and 24 % for 23 °C tracks these model outputs and real-time observations, with only marginal upside risk if breaks in the cloud allow brief additional warming before evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on August 29?
22°C 73%
23°C 29%
24°C 7%
25°C or higher <1%
$65,621 Vol.
$65,621 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
67%
23°C
29%
24°C
7%
25°C or higher
1%
22°C 73%
23°C 29%
24°C 7%
25°C or higher <1%
$65,621 Vol.
$65,621 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
67%
23°C
29%
24°C
7%
25°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and a moist southwesterly flow are suppressing daytime heating in Paris on August 29, 2026, keeping the maximum temperature aligned with official forecasts around 21–23 °C. Numerical weather models from Météo-France and global ensembles show limited insolation under overcast skies, with surface winds of 15–25 km/h further moderating the thermal response; this places the daily high well below the 1991–2020 climatological average of ~24 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the 68.5 % implied probability for 22 °C and 24 % for 23 °C tracks these model outputs and real-time observations, with only marginal upside risk if breaks in the cloud allow brief additional warming before evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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