Recent forecasts from agencies and models including GFS consensus show Munich reaching a daytime high of 26–27°C on August 30 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and negligible precipitation risk, placing this narrow range well above the 22.6°C climatological average. Stable high pressure and warm-air advection support the modest warming, while hourly guidance peaks near 26°C in the afternoon without significant model spread. The market’s heavy weighting toward 27°C (47.5 %) followed by 26°C and 28°C reflects this consensus, with lower-probability tails priced for minor forecast revisions or localized variations in measurement. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on August 30?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 30?
27°C 48%
26°C 28%
28°C 17%
25°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
6%
26°C
28%
27°C
48%
28°C
17%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 48%
26°C 28%
28°C 17%
25°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
$1,578 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$13 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$13 Vol.
1%
24°C
$69 Vol.
2%
25°C
$458 Vol.
6%
26°C
$1,352 Vol.
28%
27°C
$647 Vol.
48%
28°C
$1,689 Vol.
17%
29°C
$671 Vol.
1%
30°C
$120 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$109 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies and models including GFS consensus show Munich reaching a daytime high of 26–27°C on August 30 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and negligible precipitation risk, placing this narrow range well above the 22.6°C climatological average. Stable high pressure and warm-air advection support the modest warming, while hourly guidance peaks near 26°C in the afternoon without significant model spread. The market’s heavy weighting toward 27°C (47.5 %) followed by 26°C and 28°C reflects this consensus, with lower-probability tails priced for minor forecast revisions or localized variations in measurement. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$6,718End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies and models including GFS consensus show Munich reaching a daytime high of 26–27°C on August 30 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and negligible precipitation risk, placing this narrow range well above the 22.6°C climatological average. Stable high pressure and warm-air advection support the modest warming, while hourly guidance peaks near 26°C in the afternoon without significant model spread. The market’s heavy weighting toward 27°C (47.5 %) followed by 26°C and 28°C reflects this consensus, with lower-probability tails priced for minor forecast revisions or localized variations in measurement. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,718End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies and models including GFS consensus show Munich reaching a daytime high of 26–27°C on August 30 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and negligible precipitation risk, placing this narrow range well above the 22.6°C climatological average. Stable high pressure and warm-air advection support the modest warming, while hourly guidance peaks near 26°C in the afternoon without significant model spread. The market’s heavy weighting toward 27°C (47.5 %) followed by 26°C and 28°C reflects this consensus, with lower-probability tails priced for minor forecast revisions or localized variations in measurement. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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