Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate daytime highs in Moscow of 20–22°C on August 29, with multiple hourly models and observations peaking near 21°C amid variable cloud cover, light showers, and light southerly winds. This consensus, supported by consistent model runs and near-real-time station data, underpins the market's 97.5% implied probability for 21°C as the daily maximum. Realistic challenges include stronger afternoon clearing that could briefly push readings to 22°C or more persistent rain and thicker cloud reducing insolation enough to cap temperatures at 20°C or below, though current atmospheric conditions and pressure readings near 755–756 mm Hg limit those deviations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on August 29?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 29?
21°C 99%
22°C 1.0%
23°C <1%
14°C or below <1%
$34,564 Vol.
$34,564 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
99%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
21°C 99%
22°C 1.0%
23°C <1%
14°C or below <1%
$34,564 Vol.
$34,564 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
14°C or below
$301 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$5,211 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,117 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$766 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,342 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$3,069 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$7,079 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$4,909 Vol.
99%
22°C
$3,546 Vol.
1%
23°C
$4,758 Vol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$2,465 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate daytime highs in Moscow of 20–22°C on August 29, with multiple hourly models and observations peaking near 21°C amid variable cloud cover, light showers, and light southerly winds. This consensus, supported by consistent model runs and near-real-time station data, underpins the market's 97.5% implied probability for 21°C as the daily maximum. Realistic challenges include stronger afternoon clearing that could briefly push readings to 22°C or more persistent rain and thicker cloud reducing insolation enough to cap temperatures at 20°C or below, though current atmospheric conditions and pressure readings near 755–756 mm Hg limit those deviations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$34,564End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate daytime highs in Moscow of 20–22°C on August 29, with multiple hourly models and observations peaking near 21°C amid variable cloud cover, light showers, and light southerly winds. This consensus, supported by consistent model runs and near-real-time station data, underpins the market's 97.5% implied probability for 21°C as the daily maximum. Realistic challenges include stronger afternoon clearing that could briefly push readings to 22°C or more persistent rain and thicker cloud reducing insolation enough to cap temperatures at 20°C or below, though current atmospheric conditions and pressure readings near 755–756 mm Hg limit those deviations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$34,564End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate daytime highs in Moscow of 20–22°C on August 29, with multiple hourly models and observations peaking near 21°C amid variable cloud cover, light showers, and light southerly winds. This consensus, supported by consistent model runs and near-real-time station data, underpins the market's 97.5% implied probability for 21°C as the daily maximum. Realistic challenges include stronger afternoon clearing that could briefly push readings to 22°C or more persistent rain and thicker cloud reducing insolation enough to cap temperatures at 20°C or below, though current atmospheric conditions and pressure readings near 755–756 mm Hg limit those deviations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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