Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office and local observations points to a mild late-winter day in Buenos Aires, with afternoon highs likely reaching 16–18 °C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow. This aligns with climatological norms for late August, when daily maxima average near 17–18 °C and rarely exceed 20 °C without a strong warm advection event. Trader emphasis on 20–22 °C outcomes appears driven by modest model spread and the possibility of brief afternoon warming if cloud cover decreases more than expected, though official guidance shows limited support for such anomalies. Updated hourly data through midday confirm temperatures climbing toward but not yet surpassing 17 °C, with resolution hinging on the final peak reading reported by official stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 29?
21°C 40%
20°C 26%
22°C 17%
19°C 7%
$32,364 Vol.
$32,364 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
3%
19°C
7%
20°C
26%
21°C
40%
22°C
17%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
<1%
21°C 40%
20°C 26%
22°C 17%
19°C 7%
$32,364 Vol.
$32,364 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
3%
19°C
7%
20°C
26%
21°C
40%
22°C
17%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office and local observations points to a mild late-winter day in Buenos Aires, with afternoon highs likely reaching 16–18 °C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow. This aligns with climatological norms for late August, when daily maxima average near 17–18 °C and rarely exceed 20 °C without a strong warm advection event. Trader emphasis on 20–22 °C outcomes appears driven by modest model spread and the possibility of brief afternoon warming if cloud cover decreases more than expected, though official guidance shows limited support for such anomalies. Updated hourly data through midday confirm temperatures climbing toward but not yet surpassing 17 °C, with resolution hinging on the final peak reading reported by official stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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