**Trader consensus at 99.9% for a low of 10°C or below on August 29 in Munich reflects near-certain expectations based on real-time observational data and model consensus from agencies like the German Weather Service (DWD).** Current conditions and short-range forecasts show nighttime radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies, with dew points near 12–14°C and light winds allowing surface temperatures to drop sharply after sunset. This aligns with typical late-summer patterns where minimums occur just before dawn, and any model spread remains minimal this close to resolution. Historical records indicate occasional dips to 10°C or lower on the date are plausible, though the current setup favors a clear threshold breach. The only realistic challenge would be unexpected cloud cover or a stronger warm advection event altering the overnight minimum before official verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Munich on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Munich on August 29?
10°C or below 99.9%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$11,759 Vol.
$11,759 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
10°C or below
100%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
10°C or below 99.9%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$11,759 Vol.
$11,759 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
10°C or below
$9,026 Vol.
100%
11°C
$633 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$254 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$242 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$198 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$224 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$336 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$220 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$228 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$198 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$198 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 99.9% for a low of 10°C or below on August 29 in Munich reflects near-certain expectations based on real-time observational data and model consensus from agencies like the German Weather Service (DWD).** Current conditions and short-range forecasts show nighttime radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies, with dew points near 12–14°C and light winds allowing surface temperatures to drop sharply after sunset. This aligns with typical late-summer patterns where minimums occur just before dawn, and any model spread remains minimal this close to resolution. Historical records indicate occasional dips to 10°C or lower on the date are plausible, though the current setup favors a clear threshold breach. The only realistic challenge would be unexpected cloud cover or a stronger warm advection event altering the overnight minimum before official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$11,759End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 99.9% for a low of 10°C or below on August 29 in Munich reflects near-certain expectations based on real-time observational data and model consensus from agencies like the German Weather Service (DWD).** Current conditions and short-range forecasts show nighttime radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies, with dew points near 12–14°C and light winds allowing surface temperatures to drop sharply after sunset. This aligns with typical late-summer patterns where minimums occur just before dawn, and any model spread remains minimal this close to resolution. Historical records indicate occasional dips to 10°C or lower on the date are plausible, though the current setup favors a clear threshold breach. The only realistic challenge would be unexpected cloud cover or a stronger warm advection event altering the overnight minimum before official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,759End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus at 99.9% for a low of 10°C or below on August 29 in Munich reflects near-certain expectations based on real-time observational data and model consensus from agencies like the German Weather Service (DWD).** Current conditions and short-range forecasts show nighttime radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies, with dew points near 12–14°C and light winds allowing surface temperatures to drop sharply after sunset. This aligns with typical late-summer patterns where minimums occur just before dawn, and any model spread remains minimal this close to resolution. Historical records indicate occasional dips to 10°C or lower on the date are plausible, though the current setup favors a clear threshold breach. The only realistic challenge would be unexpected cloud cover or a stronger warm advection event altering the overnight minimum before official verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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