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Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 28?

icon for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 28?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 28?

32°C 99.8%

33°C <1%

25°C or below <1%

26°C <1%

Polymarket

$173,782 Vol.

32°C 99.8%

33°C <1%

25°C or below <1%

26°C <1%

Polymarket

$173,782 Vol.

25°C or below

$2,228 Vol.

<1%

26°C

$2,223 Vol.

<1%

27°C

$2,287 Vol.

<1%

28°C

$3,377 Vol.

<1%

29°C

$13,252 Vol.

<1%

30°C

$20,170 Vol.

<1%

31°C

$34,461 Vol.

<1%

32°C

$56,421 Vol.

100%

33°C

$29,072 Vol.

<1%

34°C

$5,934 Vol.

<1%

35°C or higher

$4,357 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official Hong Kong Observatory data recorded a daily maximum of exactly 32°C on August 28, 2026, anchoring the near-certain market consensus at that level.** Subtropical summer conditions, driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the South China Sea and Guangdong coast, produced partly cloudy skies with light to moderate southwest winds and relative humidity around 75–85%. These factors supported typical diurnal warming to the afternoon peak without the clear skies or stronger heating that would push readings to 33°C or higher, or the heavy rain and cloud cover that might have capped the high below 32°C. With resolution now tied directly to the Observatory’s finalized “Absolute Daily Max” entry, trader positions reflect verified observational evidence rather than forecasts. Only an unexpected post-publication revision—highly improbable under standard procedures—could alter the outcome.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$173,782
End Date
Aug 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official Hong Kong Observatory data recorded a daily maximum of exactly 32°C on August 28, 2026, anchoring the near-certain market consensus at that level.** Subtropical summer conditions, driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the South China Sea and Guangdong coast, produced partly cloudy skies with light to moderate southwest winds and relative humidity around 75–85%. These factors supported typical diurnal warming to the afternoon peak without the clear skies or stronger heating that would push readings to 33°C or higher, or the heavy rain and cloud cover that might have capped the high below 32°C. With resolution now tied directly to the Observatory’s finalized “Absolute Daily Max” entry, trader positions reflect verified observational evidence rather than forecasts. Only an unexpected post-publication revision—highly improbable under standard procedures—could alter the outcome.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$173,782
End Date
Aug 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 28?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "32°C" at 100%, followed by "25°C or below" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 28?" has generated $173.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 28?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 28?" is "32°C" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "25°C or below" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 28?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.