**Official Hong Kong Observatory data recorded a daily maximum of exactly 32°C on August 28, 2026, anchoring the near-certain market consensus at that level.** Subtropical summer conditions, driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the South China Sea and Guangdong coast, produced partly cloudy skies with light to moderate southwest winds and relative humidity around 75–85%. These factors supported typical diurnal warming to the afternoon peak without the clear skies or stronger heating that would push readings to 33°C or higher, or the heavy rain and cloud cover that might have capped the high below 32°C. With resolution now tied directly to the Observatory’s finalized “Absolute Daily Max” entry, trader positions reflect verified observational evidence rather than forecasts. Only an unexpected post-publication revision—highly improbable under standard procedures—could alter the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 28?
32°C 99.8%
33°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$173,782 Vol.
$173,782 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
32°C 99.8%
33°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$173,782 Vol.
$173,782 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official Hong Kong Observatory data recorded a daily maximum of exactly 32°C on August 28, 2026, anchoring the near-certain market consensus at that level.** Subtropical summer conditions, driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the South China Sea and Guangdong coast, produced partly cloudy skies with light to moderate southwest winds and relative humidity around 75–85%. These factors supported typical diurnal warming to the afternoon peak without the clear skies or stronger heating that would push readings to 33°C or higher, or the heavy rain and cloud cover that might have capped the high below 32°C. With resolution now tied directly to the Observatory’s finalized “Absolute Daily Max” entry, trader positions reflect verified observational evidence rather than forecasts. Only an unexpected post-publication revision—highly improbable under standard procedures—could alter the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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