Latest official forecasts and numerical weather models, including consensus runs from major global systems, indicate a daily maximum temperature of 31°C for Chengdu on August 29, supporting the market's near-certain implied probability for that exact outcome. Persistent cloudy conditions with light rain or showers have moderated daytime heating while steering patterns have maintained typical late-summer warmth without significant advection of cooler air. Historical climatology for the period shows average highs near 30–33°C, aligning with current observations and model guidance. A realistic challenge would require unexpected heavy precipitation or thicker cloud cover suppressing the peak by several degrees, though recent data releases show limited divergence among authoritative sources.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 29?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 29?
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$90,821 Vol.
$90,821 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$90,821 Vol.
$90,821 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
24°C or below
$451 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$17,411 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$4,785 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$6,633 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$11,507 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$6,229 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$7,449 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$9,357 Vol.
100%
32°C
$6,375 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$7,708 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$12,915 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest official forecasts and numerical weather models, including consensus runs from major global systems, indicate a daily maximum temperature of 31°C for Chengdu on August 29, supporting the market's near-certain implied probability for that exact outcome. Persistent cloudy conditions with light rain or showers have moderated daytime heating while steering patterns have maintained typical late-summer warmth without significant advection of cooler air. Historical climatology for the period shows average highs near 30–33°C, aligning with current observations and model guidance. A realistic challenge would require unexpected heavy precipitation or thicker cloud cover suppressing the peak by several degrees, though recent data releases show limited divergence among authoritative sources.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$90,821End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest official forecasts and numerical weather models, including consensus runs from major global systems, indicate a daily maximum temperature of 31°C for Chengdu on August 29, supporting the market's near-certain implied probability for that exact outcome. Persistent cloudy conditions with light rain or showers have moderated daytime heating while steering patterns have maintained typical late-summer warmth without significant advection of cooler air. Historical climatology for the period shows average highs near 30–33°C, aligning with current observations and model guidance. A realistic challenge would require unexpected heavy precipitation or thicker cloud cover suppressing the peak by several degrees, though recent data releases show limited divergence among authoritative sources.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$90,821End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest official forecasts and numerical weather models, including consensus runs from major global systems, indicate a daily maximum temperature of 31°C for Chengdu on August 29, supporting the market's near-certain implied probability for that exact outcome. Persistent cloudy conditions with light rain or showers have moderated daytime heating while steering patterns have maintained typical late-summer warmth without significant advection of cooler air. Historical climatology for the period shows average highs near 30–33°C, aligning with current observations and model guidance. A realistic challenge would require unexpected heavy precipitation or thicker cloud cover suppressing the peak by several degrees, though recent data releases show limited divergence among authoritative sources.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions