Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature near 26–28°C in Guangzhou on August 30, driven by extensive cloud cover, high humidity near 90–95%, and scattered thunderstorms that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions keep surface temperatures elevated overnight, consistent with historical late-August averages around 25°C but tempered by ongoing moisture from regional monsoon influences. Trader sentiment remains closely split among 25–27°C and higher outcomes because short-term model runs show modest variability in wind patterns and precipitation timing, which can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. The low probability attached to 22°C or below reflects the unlikelihood of significant cooling under these stable, humid atmospheric conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 30?
23°C 50%
28°C 50%
29°C 50%
30°C 50%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
50%
24°C
25%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
29%
28°C
50%
29°C
50%
30°C
50%
31°C
45%
32°C or higher
50%
23°C 50%
28°C 50%
29°C 50%
30°C 50%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
22°C or below
$16 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$16 Vol.
50%
24°C
$0 Vol.
25%
25°C
$0 Vol.
27%
26°C
$0 Vol.
27%
27°C
$19 Vol.
29%
28°C
$16 Vol.
50%
29°C
$10 Vol.
50%
30°C
$10 Vol.
50%
31°C
$5 Vol.
45%
32°C or higher
$5 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature near 26–28°C in Guangzhou on August 30, driven by extensive cloud cover, high humidity near 90–95%, and scattered thunderstorms that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions keep surface temperatures elevated overnight, consistent with historical late-August averages around 25°C but tempered by ongoing moisture from regional monsoon influences. Trader sentiment remains closely split among 25–27°C and higher outcomes because short-term model runs show modest variability in wind patterns and precipitation timing, which can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. The low probability attached to 22°C or below reflects the unlikelihood of significant cooling under these stable, humid atmospheric conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$97End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature near 26–28°C in Guangzhou on August 30, driven by extensive cloud cover, high humidity near 90–95%, and scattered thunderstorms that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions keep surface temperatures elevated overnight, consistent with historical late-August averages around 25°C but tempered by ongoing moisture from regional monsoon influences. Trader sentiment remains closely split among 25–27°C and higher outcomes because short-term model runs show modest variability in wind patterns and precipitation timing, which can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. The low probability attached to 22°C or below reflects the unlikelihood of significant cooling under these stable, humid atmospheric conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$97End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature near 26–28°C in Guangzhou on August 30, driven by extensive cloud cover, high humidity near 90–95%, and scattered thunderstorms that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions keep surface temperatures elevated overnight, consistent with historical late-August averages around 25°C but tempered by ongoing moisture from regional monsoon influences. Trader sentiment remains closely split among 25–27°C and higher outcomes because short-term model runs show modest variability in wind patterns and precipitation timing, which can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. The low probability attached to 22°C or below reflects the unlikelihood of significant cooling under these stable, humid atmospheric conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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