High humidity levels near 90% combined with persistent cloud cover and thunderstorm activity have limited radiative cooling overnight in Guangzhou, positioning the 28°C outcome as the market favorite with strong trader consensus. Official forecasts from sources like WeatherBug and local models indicate the daily minimum will likely settle between 26–28°C, consistent with subtropical summer climatology where dew points remain elevated around 26–28°C. Recent model runs show no significant cold air advection or clear-sky conditions that would drive sharper drops, keeping lower-temperature outcomes below 5% implied probability. Updated evening observations confirm temperatures stabilizing near 27–28°C into the overnight period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 29?
26°C 35%
25°C 7%
24°C 3%
21°C or below <1%
$1,430 Vol.
$1,430 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
7%
26°C
35%
27°C
-
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 35%
25°C 7%
24°C 3%
21°C or below <1%
$1,430 Vol.
$1,430 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
21°C or below
$325 Vol.
1%
22°C
$334 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$65 Vol.
1%
24°C
$86 Vol.
3%
25°C
$97 Vol.
7%
26°C
$93 Vol.
35%
27°C
$0 Vol.
-
28°C
$124 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$73 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$173 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$60 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High humidity levels near 90% combined with persistent cloud cover and thunderstorm activity have limited radiative cooling overnight in Guangzhou, positioning the 28°C outcome as the market favorite with strong trader consensus. Official forecasts from sources like WeatherBug and local models indicate the daily minimum will likely settle between 26–28°C, consistent with subtropical summer climatology where dew points remain elevated around 26–28°C. Recent model runs show no significant cold air advection or clear-sky conditions that would drive sharper drops, keeping lower-temperature outcomes below 5% implied probability. Updated evening observations confirm temperatures stabilizing near 27–28°C into the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$1,430End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High humidity levels near 90% combined with persistent cloud cover and thunderstorm activity have limited radiative cooling overnight in Guangzhou, positioning the 28°C outcome as the market favorite with strong trader consensus. Official forecasts from sources like WeatherBug and local models indicate the daily minimum will likely settle between 26–28°C, consistent with subtropical summer climatology where dew points remain elevated around 26–28°C. Recent model runs show no significant cold air advection or clear-sky conditions that would drive sharper drops, keeping lower-temperature outcomes below 5% implied probability. Updated evening observations confirm temperatures stabilizing near 27–28°C into the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,430End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...High humidity levels near 90% combined with persistent cloud cover and thunderstorm activity have limited radiative cooling overnight in Guangzhou, positioning the 28°C outcome as the market favorite with strong trader consensus. Official forecasts from sources like WeatherBug and local models indicate the daily minimum will likely settle between 26–28°C, consistent with subtropical summer climatology where dew points remain elevated around 26–28°C. Recent model runs show no significant cold air advection or clear-sky conditions that would drive sharper drops, keeping lower-temperature outcomes below 5% implied probability. Updated evening observations confirm temperatures stabilizing near 27–28°C into the overnight period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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