Persistent cloud cover and widespread thunderstorms forecast for Guangzhou on August 30 are suppressing peak temperatures below the seasonal average high of 33°C, driving market-implied odds toward 29–31°C. Official model consensus from sources such as WeatherBug and Yr.no indicates a daytime maximum near 29–30°C amid 80–100% rain probability, high humidity near 85%, and light easterly winds that limit mixing and surface heating. These conditions align with the current 39.5% probability on 30°C and 23.4% on 29°C, as traders incorporate the latest short-range forecasts showing reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Historical records show August 30 highs occasionally reaching 36°C under clear skies, but the imminent rain event makes such outcomes unlikely. Updated model runs tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalyst for any odds shift.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 30?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 30?
30°C 40%
29°C 23.2%
31°C 16%
32°C 9%
NEW
$13,092 Vol.
NEW
$13,092 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
23%
30°C
40%
31°C
16%
32°C
9%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
30°C 40%
29°C 23.2%
31°C 16%
32°C 9%
NEW
$13,092 Vol.
NEW
$13,092 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
27°C or below
$98 Vol.
1%
28°C
$1,203 Vol.
4%
29°C
$669 Vol.
23%
30°C
$2,176 Vol.
40%
31°C
$1,018 Vol.
16%
32°C
$1,856 Vol.
9%
33°C
$1,805 Vol.
2%
34°C
$2,046 Vol.
1%
35°C
$1,440 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$460 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$321 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and widespread thunderstorms forecast for Guangzhou on August 30 are suppressing peak temperatures below the seasonal average high of 33°C, driving market-implied odds toward 29–31°C. Official model consensus from sources such as WeatherBug and Yr.no indicates a daytime maximum near 29–30°C amid 80–100% rain probability, high humidity near 85%, and light easterly winds that limit mixing and surface heating. These conditions align with the current 39.5% probability on 30°C and 23.4% on 29°C, as traders incorporate the latest short-range forecasts showing reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Historical records show August 30 highs occasionally reaching 36°C under clear skies, but the imminent rain event makes such outcomes unlikely. Updated model runs tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalyst for any odds shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$13,092End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and widespread thunderstorms forecast for Guangzhou on August 30 are suppressing peak temperatures below the seasonal average high of 33°C, driving market-implied odds toward 29–31°C. Official model consensus from sources such as WeatherBug and Yr.no indicates a daytime maximum near 29–30°C amid 80–100% rain probability, high humidity near 85%, and light easterly winds that limit mixing and surface heating. These conditions align with the current 39.5% probability on 30°C and 23.4% on 29°C, as traders incorporate the latest short-range forecasts showing reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Historical records show August 30 highs occasionally reaching 36°C under clear skies, but the imminent rain event makes such outcomes unlikely. Updated model runs tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalyst for any odds shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,092End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and widespread thunderstorms forecast for Guangzhou on August 30 are suppressing peak temperatures below the seasonal average high of 33°C, driving market-implied odds toward 29–31°C. Official model consensus from sources such as WeatherBug and Yr.no indicates a daytime maximum near 29–30°C amid 80–100% rain probability, high humidity near 85%, and light easterly winds that limit mixing and surface heating. These conditions align with the current 39.5% probability on 30°C and 23.4% on 29°C, as traders incorporate the latest short-range forecasts showing reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Historical records show August 30 highs occasionally reaching 36°C under clear skies, but the imminent rain event makes such outcomes unlikely. Updated model runs tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalyst for any odds shift.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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