**Trader consensus has converged on 29°C as the day's maximum temperature for the Seoul-Incheon area, reflecting the latest Korea Meteorological Administration observations and short-term model guidance.** Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 80-90%, and light variable winds have limited surface heating, keeping afternoon readings capped near this threshold amid scattered showers. This aligns with climatological norms for late August, when daily maxima in the region typically range 28-31°C under similar synoptic patterns. The 100% market-implied probability indicates traders view deviation as highly improbable given ongoing data. A rapid dissipation of cloud decks or stronger insolation could still push readings higher before sunset, though current trends make this unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 29?
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$76,503 Vol.
$76,503 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$76,503 Vol.
$76,503 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus has converged on 29°C as the day's maximum temperature for the Seoul-Incheon area, reflecting the latest Korea Meteorological Administration observations and short-term model guidance.** Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 80-90%, and light variable winds have limited surface heating, keeping afternoon readings capped near this threshold amid scattered showers. This aligns with climatological norms for late August, when daily maxima in the region typically range 28-31°C under similar synoptic patterns. The 100% market-implied probability indicates traders view deviation as highly improbable given ongoing data. A rapid dissipation of cloud decks or stronger insolation could still push readings higher before sunset, though current trends make this unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions