Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Acre for first place in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election's first round, reflecting consistent polling dominance and the state's established voting patterns. Recent Quaest data from late August shows him at 42% against Lula's 25%, aligning with earlier Real Time Big Data surveys indicating 50%+ support. Acre backed Jair Bolsonaro decisively in 2018 and 2022, favoring right-leaning candidates amid broader northern regional trends. Other contenders, including Ronaldo Caiado and minor names, register low single digits or less, with limited momentum ahead of the October vote. Trader consensus prices in these structural advantages and stable local preferences, though shifts could arise from final campaign developments, turnout variations, or national events influencing state-level results.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFlavio Bolsonaro 97.3%
Lula <1%
Rui Costa Pimenta <1%
Clariana Barao <1%

Flavio Bolsonaro
97%

Lula
1%

Rui Costa Pimenta
1%

Clariana Barao
1%

Edmilson Costa
1%

Renan Santos
1%

Ronaldo Caiado
1%

Zema
<1%

Samara
<1%

Pablo Marçal
<1%

Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%

Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%

Hertz Dias
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 97.3%
Lula <1%
Rui Costa Pimenta <1%
Clariana Barao <1%

Flavio Bolsonaro
97%

Lula
1%

Rui Costa Pimenta
1%

Clariana Barao
1%

Edmilson Costa
1%

Renan Santos
1%

Ronaldo Caiado
1%

Zema
<1%

Samara
<1%

Pablo Marçal
<1%

Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%

Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%

Hertz Dias
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Acre.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Acre. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Acre.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Acre. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Acre for first place in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election's first round, reflecting consistent polling dominance and the state's established voting patterns. Recent Quaest data from late August shows him at 42% against Lula's 25%, aligning with earlier Real Time Big Data surveys indicating 50%+ support. Acre backed Jair Bolsonaro decisively in 2018 and 2022, favoring right-leaning candidates amid broader northern regional trends. Other contenders, including Ronaldo Caiado and minor names, register low single digits or less, with limited momentum ahead of the October vote. Trader consensus prices in these structural advantages and stable local preferences, though shifts could arise from final campaign developments, turnout variations, or national events influencing state-level results.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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