The Acre Senate race for one of two seats on October 4 remains fragmented, with recent Quaest polling showing Gladson Cameli (PP) leading at 19-24% for the first vote, followed by technical ties among Márcio Bittar (PL), Mara Rocha (Republicanos), and Jorge Viana (PT) in the 10-16% range. Trader pricing reflects this balance, sustained by established name recognition across center-right and left-leaning candidates, regional coalitions, and high undecided shares near 17%. Cameli’s resignation as governor and ongoing legal challenges over prior convictions have capped his implied probability despite polling strength. Official campaigning begins after registration, leaving room for alliance shifts, turnout patterns, or late developments among the eight registered contenders to reorder the field before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMara Rocha 38.0%
Marcio Bittar 38%
Gladson Camelí 20.0%
Jorge Viana 2.1%
$22,787 Vol.
$22,787 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Mara Rocha
38%
Marcio Bittar
38%
Gladson Camelí
20%
Jorge Viana
2%
Dr. Junior Feitosa
1%
Eduardo Velloso
<1%
Petecão
<1%
Professor Inacio Moreira
<1%
Mara Rocha 38.0%
Marcio Bittar 38%
Gladson Camelí 20.0%
Jorge Viana 2.1%
$22,787 Vol.
$22,787 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Mara Rocha
$2,401 Vol.
38%
Marcio Bittar
$8,910 Vol.
38%
Gladson Camelí
$7,578 Vol.
20%
Jorge Viana
$1,067 Vol.
2%
Dr. Junior Feitosa
$508 Vol.
1%
Eduardo Velloso
$588 Vol.
<1%
Petecão
$1,017 Vol.
<1%
Professor Inacio Moreira
$716 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Acre Senate race for one of two seats on October 4 remains fragmented, with recent Quaest polling showing Gladson Cameli (PP) leading at 19-24% for the first vote, followed by technical ties among Márcio Bittar (PL), Mara Rocha (Republicanos), and Jorge Viana (PT) in the 10-16% range. Trader pricing reflects this balance, sustained by established name recognition across center-right and left-leaning candidates, regional coalitions, and high undecided shares near 17%. Cameli’s resignation as governor and ongoing legal challenges over prior convictions have capped his implied probability despite polling strength. Official campaigning begins after registration, leaving room for alliance shifts, turnout patterns, or late developments among the eight registered contenders to reorder the field before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:46 AM ET
Volume
$22,787End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Acre Senate race for one of two seats on October 4 remains fragmented, with recent Quaest polling showing Gladson Cameli (PP) leading at 19-24% for the first vote, followed by technical ties among Márcio Bittar (PL), Mara Rocha (Republicanos), and Jorge Viana (PT) in the 10-16% range. Trader pricing reflects this balance, sustained by established name recognition across center-right and left-leaning candidates, regional coalitions, and high undecided shares near 17%. Cameli’s resignation as governor and ongoing legal challenges over prior convictions have capped his implied probability despite polling strength. Official campaigning begins after registration, leaving room for alliance shifts, turnout patterns, or late developments among the eight registered contenders to reorder the field before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$22,787End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Acre Senate race for one of two seats on October 4 remains fragmented, with recent Quaest polling showing Gladson Cameli (PP) leading at 19-24% for the first vote, followed by technical ties among Márcio Bittar (PL), Mara Rocha (Republicanos), and Jorge Viana (PT) in the 10-16% range. Trader pricing reflects this balance, sustained by established name recognition across center-right and left-leaning candidates, regional coalitions, and high undecided shares near 17%. Cameli’s resignation as governor and ongoing legal challenges over prior convictions have capped his implied probability despite polling strength. Official campaigning begins after registration, leaving room for alliance shifts, turnout patterns, or late developments among the eight registered contenders to reorder the field before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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