**Current weather forecasts for Wellington on August 29, 2026, show overnight lows stabilizing near 11°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and persistent northwesterly winds of 20–30 mph, limiting radiative cooling.** Official guidance from sources including the Met Office and local models projects minimums of 10–12°C through the night, consistent with the day's observed range of roughly 11–16°C. This aligns with Wellington's mild winter climatology for late August, where average lows hover near 9–10°C but recent conditions have trended warmer. The 99.5% market-implied probability for 11°C reflects strong consensus across forecast runs and real-time observations, with limited model spread. An unexpected calm period or shift to clearer, drier air could allow brief dips toward 9–10°C, though current steering patterns make this unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Wellington on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on August 29?
11°C 99.5%
$2,323 Vol.
$2,323 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
11°C
100%
11°C 99.5%
$2,323 Vol.
$2,323 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
11°C
$422 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current weather forecasts for Wellington on August 29, 2026, show overnight lows stabilizing near 11°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and persistent northwesterly winds of 20–30 mph, limiting radiative cooling.** Official guidance from sources including the Met Office and local models projects minimums of 10–12°C through the night, consistent with the day's observed range of roughly 11–16°C. This aligns with Wellington's mild winter climatology for late August, where average lows hover near 9–10°C but recent conditions have trended warmer. The 99.5% market-implied probability for 11°C reflects strong consensus across forecast runs and real-time observations, with limited model spread. An unexpected calm period or shift to clearer, drier air could allow brief dips toward 9–10°C, though current steering patterns make this unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$2,323End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current weather forecasts for Wellington on August 29, 2026, show overnight lows stabilizing near 11°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and persistent northwesterly winds of 20–30 mph, limiting radiative cooling.** Official guidance from sources including the Met Office and local models projects minimums of 10–12°C through the night, consistent with the day's observed range of roughly 11–16°C. This aligns with Wellington's mild winter climatology for late August, where average lows hover near 9–10°C but recent conditions have trended warmer. The 99.5% market-implied probability for 11°C reflects strong consensus across forecast runs and real-time observations, with limited model spread. An unexpected calm period or shift to clearer, drier air could allow brief dips toward 9–10°C, though current steering patterns make this unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,323End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current weather forecasts for Wellington on August 29, 2026, show overnight lows stabilizing near 11°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and persistent northwesterly winds of 20–30 mph, limiting radiative cooling.** Official guidance from sources including the Met Office and local models projects minimums of 10–12°C through the night, consistent with the day's observed range of roughly 11–16°C. This aligns with Wellington's mild winter climatology for late August, where average lows hover near 9–10°C but recent conditions have trended warmer. The 99.5% market-implied probability for 11°C reflects strong consensus across forecast runs and real-time observations, with limited model spread. An unexpected calm period or shift to clearer, drier air could allow brief dips toward 9–10°C, though current steering patterns make this unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions