Persistent cloud cover and widespread monsoon-driven precipitation over Shenzhen are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, anchoring forecast overnight lows near 25°C for August 31 amid high humidity and light winds. Multiple models show 24–26°C minima consistent with climatological August averages, though heavier localized rain or clearer breaks could allow modest further cooling toward 23°C or sustain 26°C if convection persists. Trader odds cluster tightly around these values because small differences in forecast timing, rainfall intensity, and urban heat retention create genuine uncertainty ahead of the next model runs and observational updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 31?
24°C 85%
23°C 81%
26°C 51%
29°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
22°C or below
47%
23°C
81%
24°C
85%
25°C
46%
26°C
51%
27°C
34%
28°C
48%
29°C
49%
30°C
2%
31°C
46%
32°C or higher
41%
24°C 85%
23°C 81%
26°C 51%
29°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
47%
23°C
$0 Vol.
81%
24°C
$0 Vol.
85%
25°C
$0 Vol.
46%
26°C
$0 Vol.
51%
27°C
$0 Vol.
34%
28°C
$0 Vol.
48%
29°C
$0 Vol.
49%
30°C
$0 Vol.
2%
31°C
$0 Vol.
46%
32°C or higher
$130 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and widespread monsoon-driven precipitation over Shenzhen are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, anchoring forecast overnight lows near 25°C for August 31 amid high humidity and light winds. Multiple models show 24–26°C minima consistent with climatological August averages, though heavier localized rain or clearer breaks could allow modest further cooling toward 23°C or sustain 26°C if convection persists. Trader odds cluster tightly around these values because small differences in forecast timing, rainfall intensity, and urban heat retention create genuine uncertainty ahead of the next model runs and observational updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$130End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and widespread monsoon-driven precipitation over Shenzhen are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, anchoring forecast overnight lows near 25°C for August 31 amid high humidity and light winds. Multiple models show 24–26°C minima consistent with climatological August averages, though heavier localized rain or clearer breaks could allow modest further cooling toward 23°C or sustain 26°C if convection persists. Trader odds cluster tightly around these values because small differences in forecast timing, rainfall intensity, and urban heat retention create genuine uncertainty ahead of the next model runs and observational updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$130End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and widespread monsoon-driven precipitation over Shenzhen are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, anchoring forecast overnight lows near 25°C for August 31 amid high humidity and light winds. Multiple models show 24–26°C minima consistent with climatological August averages, though heavier localized rain or clearer breaks could allow modest further cooling toward 23°C or sustain 26°C if convection persists. Trader odds cluster tightly around these values because small differences in forecast timing, rainfall intensity, and urban heat retention create genuine uncertainty ahead of the next model runs and observational updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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