Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity from South China Sea monsoon influences are moderating overnight radiative cooling in Shenzhen, supporting market-implied odds favoring a 27–28°C low on August 29. Official forecasts from local meteorological sources and international models consistently project minimums in this range amid ongoing rain and light winds, with dew points near 27°C limiting further drops. Historical August climatology for the subtropical city shows typical lows near 25–26°C under clearer conditions, but current convective activity and urban heat retention have elevated trader consensus toward the higher end. Updated model runs through the evening will refine exact thresholds ahead of final observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 29?
28°C 46%
27°C 26%
26°C 12%
25°C 9%
$6,447 Vol.
$6,447 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
9%
26°C
15%
27°C
26%
28°C
46%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 46%
27°C 26%
26°C 12%
25°C 9%
$6,447 Vol.
$6,447 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
$5,437 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$107 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$164 Vol.
4%
25°C
$139 Vol.
9%
26°C
$53 Vol.
15%
27°C
$37 Vol.
26%
28°C
$0 Vol.
46%
29°C
$192 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$112 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$68 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$138 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity from South China Sea monsoon influences are moderating overnight radiative cooling in Shenzhen, supporting market-implied odds favoring a 27–28°C low on August 29. Official forecasts from local meteorological sources and international models consistently project minimums in this range amid ongoing rain and light winds, with dew points near 27°C limiting further drops. Historical August climatology for the subtropical city shows typical lows near 25–26°C under clearer conditions, but current convective activity and urban heat retention have elevated trader consensus toward the higher end. Updated model runs through the evening will refine exact thresholds ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$6,447End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity from South China Sea monsoon influences are moderating overnight radiative cooling in Shenzhen, supporting market-implied odds favoring a 27–28°C low on August 29. Official forecasts from local meteorological sources and international models consistently project minimums in this range amid ongoing rain and light winds, with dew points near 27°C limiting further drops. Historical August climatology for the subtropical city shows typical lows near 25–26°C under clearer conditions, but current convective activity and urban heat retention have elevated trader consensus toward the higher end. Updated model runs through the evening will refine exact thresholds ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,447End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity from South China Sea monsoon influences are moderating overnight radiative cooling in Shenzhen, supporting market-implied odds favoring a 27–28°C low on August 29. Official forecasts from local meteorological sources and international models consistently project minimums in this range amid ongoing rain and light winds, with dew points near 27°C limiting further drops. Historical August climatology for the subtropical city shows typical lows near 25–26°C under clearer conditions, but current convective activity and urban heat retention have elevated trader consensus toward the higher end. Updated model runs through the evening will refine exact thresholds ahead of final observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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