Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate an overnight minimum of 22–24°C for Incheon on August 30, driven by persistent cloud cover that limits radiational cooling, light northerly winds around 3–5 m/s, and high humidity near 85–90% that curbs temperature drops. These conditions align with late-August climatology (historical mean minimum 22.9°C) and recent model consensus showing no strong cold advection or clear-sky episodes. Trader consensus favoring 23–24°C reflects this stability, though any unexpected clearing could allow slightly lower readings before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 30?
24°C 53%
23°C 41%
22°C 9%
21°C 2%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
9%
23°C
41%
24°C
53%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 53%
23°C 41%
22°C 9%
21°C 2%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
9%
23°C
41%
24°C
53%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate an overnight minimum of 22–24°C for Incheon on August 30, driven by persistent cloud cover that limits radiational cooling, light northerly winds around 3–5 m/s, and high humidity near 85–90% that curbs temperature drops. These conditions align with late-August climatology (historical mean minimum 22.9°C) and recent model consensus showing no strong cold advection or clear-sky episodes. Trader consensus favoring 23–24°C reflects this stability, though any unexpected clearing could allow slightly lower readings before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions