Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a daytime maximum near 27°C in Incheon on August 30, driven by persistent overcast skies, light northerly winds, and high humidity that limit surface heating despite typical late-summer insolation. These conditions produce only modest diurnal rise from overnight lows around 24–25°C, with scattered drizzle further suppressing peaks. The narrow spread between 27°C and 28°C market-implied odds reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in cloud thickness, any brief afternoon clearing, and precise steering flow that could allow marginally stronger warming. Historical August baselines near 29°C underscore how this suppressed pattern tilts probabilities toward the lower end of the range while leaving room for minor upward revisions if models shift.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 30?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 30?
27°C 42%
28°C 33%
29°C 13%
26°C 10%
NEW
$15,687 Vol.
NEW
$15,687 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
10%
27°C
42%
28°C
33%
29°C
13%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 42%
28°C 33%
29°C 13%
26°C 10%
NEW
$15,687 Vol.
NEW
$15,687 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
$406 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$331 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$445 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,653 Vol.
1%
25°C
$2,590 Vol.
3%
26°C
$2,488 Vol.
10%
27°C
$3,423 Vol.
42%
28°C
$951 Vol.
33%
29°C
$2,106 Vol.
13%
30°C
$736 Vol.
3%
31°C or higher
$559 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a daytime maximum near 27°C in Incheon on August 30, driven by persistent overcast skies, light northerly winds, and high humidity that limit surface heating despite typical late-summer insolation. These conditions produce only modest diurnal rise from overnight lows around 24–25°C, with scattered drizzle further suppressing peaks. The narrow spread between 27°C and 28°C market-implied odds reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in cloud thickness, any brief afternoon clearing, and precise steering flow that could allow marginally stronger warming. Historical August baselines near 29°C underscore how this suppressed pattern tilts probabilities toward the lower end of the range while leaving room for minor upward revisions if models shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$15,687End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a daytime maximum near 27°C in Incheon on August 30, driven by persistent overcast skies, light northerly winds, and high humidity that limit surface heating despite typical late-summer insolation. These conditions produce only modest diurnal rise from overnight lows around 24–25°C, with scattered drizzle further suppressing peaks. The narrow spread between 27°C and 28°C market-implied odds reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in cloud thickness, any brief afternoon clearing, and precise steering flow that could allow marginally stronger warming. Historical August baselines near 29°C underscore how this suppressed pattern tilts probabilities toward the lower end of the range while leaving room for minor upward revisions if models shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,687End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a daytime maximum near 27°C in Incheon on August 30, driven by persistent overcast skies, light northerly winds, and high humidity that limit surface heating despite typical late-summer insolation. These conditions produce only modest diurnal rise from overnight lows around 24–25°C, with scattered drizzle further suppressing peaks. The narrow spread between 27°C and 28°C market-implied odds reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in cloud thickness, any brief afternoon clearing, and precise steering flow that could allow marginally stronger warming. Historical August baselines near 29°C underscore how this suppressed pattern tilts probabilities toward the lower end of the range while leaving room for minor upward revisions if models shift.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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