Recent forecasts from European meteorological models indicate Paris will experience mild overnight conditions on August 30–31, with minimum temperatures stabilizing around 16–17°C under persistent cloud cover and southwesterly flow. These patterns limit radiative cooling compared to clearer skies, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 17°C and 16°C as the day's low. Historical August averages near 13.4°C provide context, yet current model consensus points to warmer-than-normal values through the period, with limited disagreement among runs and no incoming cold air mass expected before resolution. Traders appear to be pricing in this near-term stability ahead of any final forecast adjustments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Paris on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 31?
17°C 46%
16°C 40%
15°C 22%
18°C 17%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
12°C or below
7%
13°C
14%
14°C
16%
15°C
22%
16°C
40%
17°C
46%
18°C
17%
19°C
14%
20°C
2%
21°C
8%
22°C or higher
12%
17°C 46%
16°C 40%
15°C 22%
18°C 17%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
12°C or below
$0 Vol.
7%
13°C
$0 Vol.
14%
14°C
$0 Vol.
16%
15°C
$0 Vol.
22%
16°C
$18 Vol.
40%
17°C
$6 Vol.
46%
18°C
$0 Vol.
17%
19°C
$0 Vol.
14%
20°C
$0 Vol.
2%
21°C
$0 Vol.
8%
22°C or higher
$0 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European meteorological models indicate Paris will experience mild overnight conditions on August 30–31, with minimum temperatures stabilizing around 16–17°C under persistent cloud cover and southwesterly flow. These patterns limit radiative cooling compared to clearer skies, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 17°C and 16°C as the day's low. Historical August averages near 13.4°C provide context, yet current model consensus points to warmer-than-normal values through the period, with limited disagreement among runs and no incoming cold air mass expected before resolution. Traders appear to be pricing in this near-term stability ahead of any final forecast adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$24End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European meteorological models indicate Paris will experience mild overnight conditions on August 30–31, with minimum temperatures stabilizing around 16–17°C under persistent cloud cover and southwesterly flow. These patterns limit radiative cooling compared to clearer skies, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 17°C and 16°C as the day's low. Historical August averages near 13.4°C provide context, yet current model consensus points to warmer-than-normal values through the period, with limited disagreement among runs and no incoming cold air mass expected before resolution. Traders appear to be pricing in this near-term stability ahead of any final forecast adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$24End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from European meteorological models indicate Paris will experience mild overnight conditions on August 30–31, with minimum temperatures stabilizing around 16–17°C under persistent cloud cover and southwesterly flow. These patterns limit radiative cooling compared to clearer skies, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 17°C and 16°C as the day's low. Historical August averages near 13.4°C provide context, yet current model consensus points to warmer-than-normal values through the period, with limited disagreement among runs and no incoming cold air mass expected before resolution. Traders appear to be pricing in this near-term stability ahead of any final forecast adjustments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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