Forecast models from Météo-France and European ensembles indicate a minimum temperature of 17°C in Paris on August 29, driven by clear skies, light winds, and moderate humidity allowing efficient radiative cooling overnight under a stable high-pressure ridge. Historical August lows in the city average near 15–16°C, but current conditions align closely with the 17°C threshold on official stations. Trader consensus at 97.5% reflects this strong observational and model agreement, with skin-in-the-game positioning rewarding precision on measurement criteria. A sudden influx of cooler maritime air or denser cloud cover could push readings lower, though such shifts appear unlikely given the latest guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Paris on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 29?
17°C 98%
16°C 3%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$7,460 Vol.
$7,460 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
98%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 98%
16°C 3%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$7,460 Vol.
$7,460 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
11°C or below
$278 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$173 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$529 Vol.
1%
14°C
$444 Vol.
1%
15°C
$710 Vol.
1%
16°C
$1,694 Vol.
3%
17°C
$1,724 Vol.
98%
18°C
$1,207 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$225 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$158 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$318 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Météo-France and European ensembles indicate a minimum temperature of 17°C in Paris on August 29, driven by clear skies, light winds, and moderate humidity allowing efficient radiative cooling overnight under a stable high-pressure ridge. Historical August lows in the city average near 15–16°C, but current conditions align closely with the 17°C threshold on official stations. Trader consensus at 97.5% reflects this strong observational and model agreement, with skin-in-the-game positioning rewarding precision on measurement criteria. A sudden influx of cooler maritime air or denser cloud cover could push readings lower, though such shifts appear unlikely given the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$7,460End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Météo-France and European ensembles indicate a minimum temperature of 17°C in Paris on August 29, driven by clear skies, light winds, and moderate humidity allowing efficient radiative cooling overnight under a stable high-pressure ridge. Historical August lows in the city average near 15–16°C, but current conditions align closely with the 17°C threshold on official stations. Trader consensus at 97.5% reflects this strong observational and model agreement, with skin-in-the-game positioning rewarding precision on measurement criteria. A sudden influx of cooler maritime air or denser cloud cover could push readings lower, though such shifts appear unlikely given the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,460End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from Météo-France and European ensembles indicate a minimum temperature of 17°C in Paris on August 29, driven by clear skies, light winds, and moderate humidity allowing efficient radiative cooling overnight under a stable high-pressure ridge. Historical August lows in the city average near 15–16°C, but current conditions align closely with the 17°C threshold on official stations. Trader consensus at 97.5% reflects this strong observational and model agreement, with skin-in-the-game positioning rewarding precision on measurement criteria. A sudden influx of cooler maritime air or denser cloud cover could push readings lower, though such shifts appear unlikely given the latest guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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