Recent heavy rainfall and associated cloud cover across Chongqing through August 29 have introduced substantial uncertainty into minimum temperature forecasts for the 30th. Official outlooks from sources such as the Chongqing Meteorological Station project a range of roughly 23–25 °C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light showers possible, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling while elevated humidity and residual moisture suppress sharp drops. Model variability in timing of clearing versus persistent low-level cloud explains the market’s near-even split between 19 °C or below and 29 °C or higher, as any extended clear window could allow greater heat loss while trapped longwave radiation under clouds would keep the overnight low elevated. Resolution hinges on verified station readings once the day concludes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Chongqing on August 30?
19°C or below 91%
29°C or higher 91%
20°C 50%
25°C 50%
19°C or below
91%
20°C
50%
21°C
26%
22°C
27%
23°C
28%
24°C
26%
25°C
50%
26°C
8%
27°C
49%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
91%
19°C or below 91%
29°C or higher 91%
20°C 50%
25°C 50%
19°C or below
91%
20°C
50%
21°C
26%
22°C
27%
23°C
28%
24°C
26%
25°C
50%
26°C
8%
27°C
49%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
91%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent heavy rainfall and associated cloud cover across Chongqing through August 29 have introduced substantial uncertainty into minimum temperature forecasts for the 30th. Official outlooks from sources such as the Chongqing Meteorological Station project a range of roughly 23–25 °C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light showers possible, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling while elevated humidity and residual moisture suppress sharp drops. Model variability in timing of clearing versus persistent low-level cloud explains the market’s near-even split between 19 °C or below and 29 °C or higher, as any extended clear window could allow greater heat loss while trapped longwave radiation under clouds would keep the overnight low elevated. Resolution hinges on verified station readings once the day concludes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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