Recent rainfall and associated cloud cover from a strong weather system crossing Chongqing are the main drivers keeping trader focus on 30–32°C outcomes for August 30. Official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau indicate mid-western and southeastern districts will see showers or scattered rain, with center-city highs limited to 24–31°C under overcast skies, while broader areas reach up to 37°C only if clearing occurs. This follows several days of 36–39°C heat that ended with cooling showers on the 28th–29th. Model consensus and historical late-August patterns after similar disturbances support modest maxima near the seasonal average, with any faster clearing or reduced precipitation the key variables that could push readings toward 33°C or hold them at 30°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 30?
31°C 34%
32°C 26%
30°C 22%
29°C 12%
$13,409 Vol.
$13,409 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
12%
30°C
22%
31°C
34%
32°C
26%
33°C
6%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 34%
32°C 26%
30°C 22%
29°C 12%
$13,409 Vol.
$13,409 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
12%
30°C
22%
31°C
34%
32°C
26%
33°C
6%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent rainfall and associated cloud cover from a strong weather system crossing Chongqing are the main drivers keeping trader focus on 30–32°C outcomes for August 30. Official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau indicate mid-western and southeastern districts will see showers or scattered rain, with center-city highs limited to 24–31°C under overcast skies, while broader areas reach up to 37°C only if clearing occurs. This follows several days of 36–39°C heat that ended with cooling showers on the 28th–29th. Model consensus and historical late-August patterns after similar disturbances support modest maxima near the seasonal average, with any faster clearing or reduced precipitation the key variables that could push readings toward 33°C or hold them at 30°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions