Recent forecast model runs and official guidance from Chinese meteorological sources indicate overnight lows in Chongqing on August 31 centering in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22–24°C. Following heavy rainfall and cloud cover through August 29–30, clearer conditions are expected to enhance nocturnal radiative cooling under light winds and moderate humidity levels typical of the region's subtropical monsoon climate. Historical August minimums average near 25–26°C, with recent observations showing elevated baseline temperatures from prior heat, though localized cooling pockets could push readings toward 21–22°C in urban or riverine areas. Updated numerical weather prediction outputs and Chongqing Meteorological Bureau briefings ahead of the date will refine these thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Chongqing on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Chongqing on August 31?
20°C 49%
21°C 49%
18°C or below 48%
19°C 38%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
18°C or below
48%
19°C
38%
20°C
49%
21°C
49%
22°C
27%
23°C
35%
24°C
26%
25°C
8%
26°C
8%
27°C
8%
28°C or higher
2%
20°C 49%
21°C 49%
18°C or below 48%
19°C 38%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
18°C or below
$0 Vol.
48%
19°C
$0 Vol.
38%
20°C
$0 Vol.
49%
21°C
$0 Vol.
49%
22°C
$0 Vol.
27%
23°C
$0 Vol.
35%
24°C
$0 Vol.
26%
25°C
$0 Vol.
8%
26°C
$0 Vol.
8%
27°C
$0 Vol.
8%
28°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs and official guidance from Chinese meteorological sources indicate overnight lows in Chongqing on August 31 centering in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22–24°C. Following heavy rainfall and cloud cover through August 29–30, clearer conditions are expected to enhance nocturnal radiative cooling under light winds and moderate humidity levels typical of the region's subtropical monsoon climate. Historical August minimums average near 25–26°C, with recent observations showing elevated baseline temperatures from prior heat, though localized cooling pockets could push readings toward 21–22°C in urban or riverine areas. Updated numerical weather prediction outputs and Chongqing Meteorological Bureau briefings ahead of the date will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs and official guidance from Chinese meteorological sources indicate overnight lows in Chongqing on August 31 centering in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22–24°C. Following heavy rainfall and cloud cover through August 29–30, clearer conditions are expected to enhance nocturnal radiative cooling under light winds and moderate humidity levels typical of the region's subtropical monsoon climate. Historical August minimums average near 25–26°C, with recent observations showing elevated baseline temperatures from prior heat, though localized cooling pockets could push readings toward 21–22°C in urban or riverine areas. Updated numerical weather prediction outputs and Chongqing Meteorological Bureau briefings ahead of the date will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs and official guidance from Chinese meteorological sources indicate overnight lows in Chongqing on August 31 centering in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22–24°C. Following heavy rainfall and cloud cover through August 29–30, clearer conditions are expected to enhance nocturnal radiative cooling under light winds and moderate humidity levels typical of the region's subtropical monsoon climate. Historical August minimums average near 25–26°C, with recent observations showing elevated baseline temperatures from prior heat, though localized cooling pockets could push readings toward 21–22°C in urban or riverine areas. Updated numerical weather prediction outputs and Chongqing Meteorological Bureau briefings ahead of the date will refine these thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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