Recent model consensus from sources including the Met Office and regional forecasts points to an overnight low near 22–23°C in Chengdu on August 30, shaped by clear to partly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and typical late-summer radiative cooling in the Sichuan Basin. High humidity and basin topography limit rapid temperature drops, while the absence of incoming fronts or significant precipitation keeps conditions stable. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22–24°C reflects minor divergences among ensemble runs on exact dew-point depression and boundary-layer mixing overnight, with 23°C edging ahead on the latest guidance. Historical August minima average near 22°C, providing context for why traders assign comparable weight to the adjacent thresholds pending final observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Chengdu on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 30?
21°C 89%
18°C or below 54%
27°C 54%
24°C 47%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
18°C or below
54%
19°C
23%
20°C
45%
21°C
89%
22°C
45%
23°C
46%
24°C
47%
25°C
46%
26°C
34%
27°C
54%
28°C or higher
1%
21°C 89%
18°C or below 54%
27°C 54%
24°C 47%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
18°C or below
$145 Vol.
54%
19°C
$74 Vol.
23%
20°C
$0 Vol.
45%
21°C
$0 Vol.
89%
22°C
$0 Vol.
45%
23°C
$0 Vol.
46%
24°C
$0 Vol.
47%
25°C
$0 Vol.
46%
26°C
$10 Vol.
34%
27°C
$145 Vol.
54%
28°C or higher
$145 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the Met Office and regional forecasts points to an overnight low near 22–23°C in Chengdu on August 30, shaped by clear to partly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and typical late-summer radiative cooling in the Sichuan Basin. High humidity and basin topography limit rapid temperature drops, while the absence of incoming fronts or significant precipitation keeps conditions stable. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22–24°C reflects minor divergences among ensemble runs on exact dew-point depression and boundary-layer mixing overnight, with 23°C edging ahead on the latest guidance. Historical August minima average near 22°C, providing context for why traders assign comparable weight to the adjacent thresholds pending final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$519End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the Met Office and regional forecasts points to an overnight low near 22–23°C in Chengdu on August 30, shaped by clear to partly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and typical late-summer radiative cooling in the Sichuan Basin. High humidity and basin topography limit rapid temperature drops, while the absence of incoming fronts or significant precipitation keeps conditions stable. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22–24°C reflects minor divergences among ensemble runs on exact dew-point depression and boundary-layer mixing overnight, with 23°C edging ahead on the latest guidance. Historical August minima average near 22°C, providing context for why traders assign comparable weight to the adjacent thresholds pending final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$519End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including the Met Office and regional forecasts points to an overnight low near 22–23°C in Chengdu on August 30, shaped by clear to partly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and typical late-summer radiative cooling in the Sichuan Basin. High humidity and basin topography limit rapid temperature drops, while the absence of incoming fronts or significant precipitation keeps conditions stable. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22–24°C reflects minor divergences among ensemble runs on exact dew-point depression and boundary-layer mixing overnight, with 23°C edging ahead on the latest guidance. Historical August minima average near 22°C, providing context for why traders assign comparable weight to the adjacent thresholds pending final observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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