Trader sentiment for Chengdu’s August 29 low temperature remains tightly clustered around 22–25 °C because official forecasts and model runs diverge on overnight radiative cooling. Persistent high humidity (often >70 %), light winds, and variable cloud cover or patchy rain limit clear-sky heat loss, keeping surface temperatures from dropping sharply; recent showers have also moistened the ground, enhancing latent-heat retention. Urban heat-island effects in the densely built city center further buffer minima, while slight differences in forecast timing of cloud breaks or wind shifts can swing the recorded low by 1–2 °C. With the market implying near-even odds for 24 °C and 25 °C, traders are pricing the genuine uncertainty between numerical guidance and local microclimate variability ahead of final observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Chengdu on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 29?
22°C 94%
21°C 86%
25°C 51%
24°C 50%
$548 Vol.
$548 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
86%
22°C
94%
23°C
33%
24°C
50%
25°C
51%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 94%
21°C 86%
25°C 51%
24°C 50%
$548 Vol.
$548 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
17°C or below
$151 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$34 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$34 Vol.
2%
20°C
$83 Vol.
2%
21°C
$93 Vol.
86%
22°C
$39 Vol.
94%
23°C
$19 Vol.
33%
24°C
$0 Vol.
50%
25°C
$0 Vol.
51%
26°C
$65 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$30 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Chengdu’s August 29 low temperature remains tightly clustered around 22–25 °C because official forecasts and model runs diverge on overnight radiative cooling. Persistent high humidity (often >70 %), light winds, and variable cloud cover or patchy rain limit clear-sky heat loss, keeping surface temperatures from dropping sharply; recent showers have also moistened the ground, enhancing latent-heat retention. Urban heat-island effects in the densely built city center further buffer minima, while slight differences in forecast timing of cloud breaks or wind shifts can swing the recorded low by 1–2 °C. With the market implying near-even odds for 24 °C and 25 °C, traders are pricing the genuine uncertainty between numerical guidance and local microclimate variability ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$548End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Chengdu’s August 29 low temperature remains tightly clustered around 22–25 °C because official forecasts and model runs diverge on overnight radiative cooling. Persistent high humidity (often >70 %), light winds, and variable cloud cover or patchy rain limit clear-sky heat loss, keeping surface temperatures from dropping sharply; recent showers have also moistened the ground, enhancing latent-heat retention. Urban heat-island effects in the densely built city center further buffer minima, while slight differences in forecast timing of cloud breaks or wind shifts can swing the recorded low by 1–2 °C. With the market implying near-even odds for 24 °C and 25 °C, traders are pricing the genuine uncertainty between numerical guidance and local microclimate variability ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$548End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Chengdu’s August 29 low temperature remains tightly clustered around 22–25 °C because official forecasts and model runs diverge on overnight radiative cooling. Persistent high humidity (often >70 %), light winds, and variable cloud cover or patchy rain limit clear-sky heat loss, keeping surface temperatures from dropping sharply; recent showers have also moistened the ground, enhancing latent-heat retention. Urban heat-island effects in the densely built city center further buffer minima, while slight differences in forecast timing of cloud breaks or wind shifts can swing the recorded low by 1–2 °C. With the market implying near-even odds for 24 °C and 25 °C, traders are pricing the genuine uncertainty between numerical guidance and local microclimate variability ahead of final observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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