Forecast models for Chengdu on August 30 show highs centered near 33–35°C after recent rainfall cleared skies and reduced cloud cover on the 29th, enabling stronger solar insolation under light northeast winds. Official guidance from sources like the Met Office and WeatherBug points to 33–34°C maxima with low precipitation risk, while basin topography and moderate humidity support modest afternoon warming without extreme buildup. Trader consensus clusters on 34–35°C outcomes due to slight model spread in boundary-layer heating rates, with lower probabilities on 36°C+ reflecting limited thermal advection and historical late-August norms near 32°C. New observational data and refined model runs will refine resolution thresholds ahead of market close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 30?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 30?
35°C 30%
34°C 27%
33°C 15%
36°C 11%
NEW
$16,719 Vol.
NEW
$16,719 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
6%
33°C
15%
34°C
27%
35°C
30%
36°C
11%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
2%
35°C 30%
34°C 27%
33°C 15%
36°C 11%
NEW
$16,719 Vol.
NEW
$16,719 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
28°C or below
$2,379 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,079 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$948 Vol.
1%
31°C
$634 Vol.
4%
32°C
$517 Vol.
6%
33°C
$903 Vol.
15%
34°C
$984 Vol.
27%
35°C
$2,205 Vol.
30%
36°C
$2,194 Vol.
11%
37°C
$2,318 Vol.
3%
38°C or higher
$2,558 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Chengdu on August 30 show highs centered near 33–35°C after recent rainfall cleared skies and reduced cloud cover on the 29th, enabling stronger solar insolation under light northeast winds. Official guidance from sources like the Met Office and WeatherBug points to 33–34°C maxima with low precipitation risk, while basin topography and moderate humidity support modest afternoon warming without extreme buildup. Trader consensus clusters on 34–35°C outcomes due to slight model spread in boundary-layer heating rates, with lower probabilities on 36°C+ reflecting limited thermal advection and historical late-August norms near 32°C. New observational data and refined model runs will refine resolution thresholds ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$16,719End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Chengdu on August 30 show highs centered near 33–35°C after recent rainfall cleared skies and reduced cloud cover on the 29th, enabling stronger solar insolation under light northeast winds. Official guidance from sources like the Met Office and WeatherBug points to 33–34°C maxima with low precipitation risk, while basin topography and moderate humidity support modest afternoon warming without extreme buildup. Trader consensus clusters on 34–35°C outcomes due to slight model spread in boundary-layer heating rates, with lower probabilities on 36°C+ reflecting limited thermal advection and historical late-August norms near 32°C. New observational data and refined model runs will refine resolution thresholds ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,719End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Chengdu on August 30 show highs centered near 33–35°C after recent rainfall cleared skies and reduced cloud cover on the 29th, enabling stronger solar insolation under light northeast winds. Official guidance from sources like the Met Office and WeatherBug points to 33–34°C maxima with low precipitation risk, while basin topography and moderate humidity support modest afternoon warming without extreme buildup. Trader consensus clusters on 34–35°C outcomes due to slight model spread in boundary-layer heating rates, with lower probabilities on 36°C+ reflecting limited thermal advection and historical late-August norms near 32°C. New observational data and refined model runs will refine resolution thresholds ahead of market close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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