**Strong model consensus and official forecasts point to an overnight minimum of 23°C in Wuhan on August 29, 2026, driven by northerly flow from Typhoon Shadell’s peripheral circulation.** This has moderated the prior extreme heat (highs often 36–38°C earlier in the week) by advecting cooler, moister air across the region, with current observations and hourly guidance showing temperatures falling into the mid-20s overnight amid partly cloudy to overcast skies, light to moderate northerly winds, and scattered showers. Historical climatology for late August supports lows near 25–26°C, but the active synoptic pattern has shifted the distribution downward, aligning with the market-implied probability exceeding 97% for exactly 23°C. Uncertainties remain around precise timing of any clearing, local urban heat effects, or slight forecast revisions from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration, which could push the observed minimum to 24°C or higher if radiative cooling is limited. No major upward revisions appear likely given the established steering flow and moisture.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Wuhan on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on August 29?
23°C 97.4%
22°C or below 1.4%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$2,750 Vol.
$2,750 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
97%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
23°C 97.4%
22°C or below 1.4%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$2,750 Vol.
$2,750 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
$238 Vol.
1%
23°C
$222 Vol.
97%
24°C
$237 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$102 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$200 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$415 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,065 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$76 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$75 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$60 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$60 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong model consensus and official forecasts point to an overnight minimum of 23°C in Wuhan on August 29, 2026, driven by northerly flow from Typhoon Shadell’s peripheral circulation.** This has moderated the prior extreme heat (highs often 36–38°C earlier in the week) by advecting cooler, moister air across the region, with current observations and hourly guidance showing temperatures falling into the mid-20s overnight amid partly cloudy to overcast skies, light to moderate northerly winds, and scattered showers. Historical climatology for late August supports lows near 25–26°C, but the active synoptic pattern has shifted the distribution downward, aligning with the market-implied probability exceeding 97% for exactly 23°C.
Uncertainties remain around precise timing of any clearing, local urban heat effects, or slight forecast revisions from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration, which could push the observed minimum to 24°C or higher if radiative cooling is limited. No major upward revisions appear likely given the established steering flow and moisture.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$2,750End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong model consensus and official forecasts point to an overnight minimum of 23°C in Wuhan on August 29, 2026, driven by northerly flow from Typhoon Shadell’s peripheral circulation.** This has moderated the prior extreme heat (highs often 36–38°C earlier in the week) by advecting cooler, moister air across the region, with current observations and hourly guidance showing temperatures falling into the mid-20s overnight amid partly cloudy to overcast skies, light to moderate northerly winds, and scattered showers. Historical climatology for late August supports lows near 25–26°C, but the active synoptic pattern has shifted the distribution downward, aligning with the market-implied probability exceeding 97% for exactly 23°C.
Uncertainties remain around precise timing of any clearing, local urban heat effects, or slight forecast revisions from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration, which could push the observed minimum to 24°C or higher if radiative cooling is limited. No major upward revisions appear likely given the established steering flow and moisture.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,750End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Strong model consensus and official forecasts point to an overnight minimum of 23°C in Wuhan on August 29, 2026, driven by northerly flow from Typhoon Shadell’s peripheral circulation.** This has moderated the prior extreme heat (highs often 36–38°C earlier in the week) by advecting cooler, moister air across the region, with current observations and hourly guidance showing temperatures falling into the mid-20s overnight amid partly cloudy to overcast skies, light to moderate northerly winds, and scattered showers. Historical climatology for late August supports lows near 25–26°C, but the active synoptic pattern has shifted the distribution downward, aligning with the market-implied probability exceeding 97% for exactly 23°C. Uncertainties remain around precise timing of any clearing, local urban heat effects, or slight forecast revisions from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration, which could push the observed minimum to 24°C or higher if radiative cooling is limited. No major upward revisions appear likely given the established steering flow and moisture.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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