Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including local Chinese agencies and international models, indicate a high of 32–34°C in Wuhan on August 30, 2026, driven by increased cloud cover, scattered rain or thunderstorms, and northerly winds associated with peripheral influences from typhoon-related troughs. These conditions are expected to limit daytime heating relative to the prior week’s peaks near 37–38°C, with hourly data showing afternoon maxima clustered around 32–33°C amid 50% or higher precipitation chances. The market’s leading outcomes at 33°C (39% implied probability), 32°C (25.5%), and 34°C (25.5%) align closely with this consensus range, reflecting traders’ assessment of model agreement on moderated temperatures while acknowledging residual uncertainty from exact rainfall timing and intensity in official guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 30?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 30?
33°C 39%
32°C 26%
34°C 26%
31°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
7%
32°C
26%
33°C
39%
34°C
26%
35°C or higher
5%
33°C 39%
32°C 26%
34°C 26%
31°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
25°C or below
$148 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$309 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$309 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$936 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$557 Vol.
1%
30°C
$254 Vol.
2%
31°C
$644 Vol.
7%
32°C
$886 Vol.
26%
33°C
$582 Vol.
39%
34°C
$2,139 Vol.
26%
35°C or higher
$540 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including local Chinese agencies and international models, indicate a high of 32–34°C in Wuhan on August 30, 2026, driven by increased cloud cover, scattered rain or thunderstorms, and northerly winds associated with peripheral influences from typhoon-related troughs. These conditions are expected to limit daytime heating relative to the prior week’s peaks near 37–38°C, with hourly data showing afternoon maxima clustered around 32–33°C amid 50% or higher precipitation chances. The market’s leading outcomes at 33°C (39% implied probability), 32°C (25.5%), and 34°C (25.5%) align closely with this consensus range, reflecting traders’ assessment of model agreement on moderated temperatures while acknowledging residual uncertainty from exact rainfall timing and intensity in official guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$7,304End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including local Chinese agencies and international models, indicate a high of 32–34°C in Wuhan on August 30, 2026, driven by increased cloud cover, scattered rain or thunderstorms, and northerly winds associated with peripheral influences from typhoon-related troughs. These conditions are expected to limit daytime heating relative to the prior week’s peaks near 37–38°C, with hourly data showing afternoon maxima clustered around 32–33°C amid 50% or higher precipitation chances. The market’s leading outcomes at 33°C (39% implied probability), 32°C (25.5%), and 34°C (25.5%) align closely with this consensus range, reflecting traders’ assessment of model agreement on moderated temperatures while acknowledging residual uncertainty from exact rainfall timing and intensity in official guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,304End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including local Chinese agencies and international models, indicate a high of 32–34°C in Wuhan on August 30, 2026, driven by increased cloud cover, scattered rain or thunderstorms, and northerly winds associated with peripheral influences from typhoon-related troughs. These conditions are expected to limit daytime heating relative to the prior week’s peaks near 37–38°C, with hourly data showing afternoon maxima clustered around 32–33°C amid 50% or higher precipitation chances. The market’s leading outcomes at 33°C (39% implied probability), 32°C (25.5%), and 34°C (25.5%) align closely with this consensus range, reflecting traders’ assessment of model agreement on moderated temperatures while acknowledging residual uncertainty from exact rainfall timing and intensity in official guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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