Recent forecasts from European models and agencies indicate a mild late-summer day for Paris on August 30, with a projected daily maximum near 23–24 °C under mostly cloudy skies and moderate southwesterly flow. These conditions limit daytime heating compared with clearer anticyclonic setups, aligning closely with the long-term August average high of 24 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the 43.5 % probability on 24 °C, followed by 25 °C and 23 °C, tracks the narrow spread of current guidance, while lower odds for 26 °C or above reflect limited potential for stronger insolation or warmer advection before the market resolves. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs for official maximum readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on August 30?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 30?
24°C 44%
25°C 26%
23°C 25%
26°C 5%
NEW
$16,461 Vol.
NEW
$16,461 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
25%
24°C
44%
25°C
26%
26°C
5%
27°C or higher
1%
24°C 44%
25°C 26%
23°C 25%
26°C 5%
NEW
$16,461 Vol.
NEW
$16,461 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
17°C or below
$1,194 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,188 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,103 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$406 Vol.
1%
21°C
$341 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,018 Vol.
2%
23°C
$1,950 Vol.
25%
24°C
$1,706 Vol.
44%
25°C
$3,141 Vol.
26%
26°C
$3,342 Vol.
5%
27°C or higher
$1,071 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European models and agencies indicate a mild late-summer day for Paris on August 30, with a projected daily maximum near 23–24 °C under mostly cloudy skies and moderate southwesterly flow. These conditions limit daytime heating compared with clearer anticyclonic setups, aligning closely with the long-term August average high of 24 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the 43.5 % probability on 24 °C, followed by 25 °C and 23 °C, tracks the narrow spread of current guidance, while lower odds for 26 °C or above reflect limited potential for stronger insolation or warmer advection before the market resolves. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs for official maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$16,461End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European models and agencies indicate a mild late-summer day for Paris on August 30, with a projected daily maximum near 23–24 °C under mostly cloudy skies and moderate southwesterly flow. These conditions limit daytime heating compared with clearer anticyclonic setups, aligning closely with the long-term August average high of 24 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the 43.5 % probability on 24 °C, followed by 25 °C and 23 °C, tracks the narrow spread of current guidance, while lower odds for 26 °C or above reflect limited potential for stronger insolation or warmer advection before the market resolves. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs for official maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,461End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from European models and agencies indicate a mild late-summer day for Paris on August 30, with a projected daily maximum near 23–24 °C under mostly cloudy skies and moderate southwesterly flow. These conditions limit daytime heating compared with clearer anticyclonic setups, aligning closely with the long-term August average high of 24 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the 43.5 % probability on 24 °C, followed by 25 °C and 23 °C, tracks the narrow spread of current guidance, while lower odds for 26 °C or above reflect limited potential for stronger insolation or warmer advection before the market resolves. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs for official maximum readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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