Official National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 29 project a high near 96°F under mostly sunny skies, with a 20% chance of afternoon thunderstorms that could moderate peak readings if convection develops earlier. This outlook supports the tight market split between the 94-95°F (48.5%) and 96-97°F (43.0%) bins, as afternoon solar heating and boundary-layer moisture favor upper-90s readings while scattered storms introduce variability in maximum temperature. Above the 92°F climatological average, the outcome hinges on whether clear conditions persist through peak heating hours or cloud cover and precipitation arrive sooner, factors forecasters continue monitoring via updated model runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on August 29?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 29?
94-95°F 49%
96-97°F 43%
92-93°F 5%
98-99°F 4%
$27,200 Vol.
$27,200 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
5%
94-95°F
49%
96-97°F
43%
98-99°F
4%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 49%
96-97°F 43%
92-93°F 5%
98-99°F 4%
$27,200 Vol.
$27,200 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
83°F or below
$365 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$394 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$2,129 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$1,739 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$953 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$2,615 Vol.
5%
94-95°F
$4,704 Vol.
49%
96-97°F
$9,778 Vol.
43%
98-99°F
$2,886 Vol.
4%
100-101°F
$609 Vol.
<1%
102°F or higher
$1,026 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 29 project a high near 96°F under mostly sunny skies, with a 20% chance of afternoon thunderstorms that could moderate peak readings if convection develops earlier. This outlook supports the tight market split between the 94-95°F (48.5%) and 96-97°F (43.0%) bins, as afternoon solar heating and boundary-layer moisture favor upper-90s readings while scattered storms introduce variability in maximum temperature. Above the 92°F climatological average, the outcome hinges on whether clear conditions persist through peak heating hours or cloud cover and precipitation arrive sooner, factors forecasters continue monitoring via updated model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$27,200End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 29 project a high near 96°F under mostly sunny skies, with a 20% chance of afternoon thunderstorms that could moderate peak readings if convection develops earlier. This outlook supports the tight market split between the 94-95°F (48.5%) and 96-97°F (43.0%) bins, as afternoon solar heating and boundary-layer moisture favor upper-90s readings while scattered storms introduce variability in maximum temperature. Above the 92°F climatological average, the outcome hinges on whether clear conditions persist through peak heating hours or cloud cover and precipitation arrive sooner, factors forecasters continue monitoring via updated model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$27,200End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 29 project a high near 96°F under mostly sunny skies, with a 20% chance of afternoon thunderstorms that could moderate peak readings if convection develops earlier. This outlook supports the tight market split between the 94-95°F (48.5%) and 96-97°F (43.0%) bins, as afternoon solar heating and boundary-layer moisture favor upper-90s readings while scattered storms introduce variability in maximum temperature. Above the 92°F climatological average, the outcome hinges on whether clear conditions persist through peak heating hours or cloud cover and precipitation arrive sooner, factors forecasters continue monitoring via updated model runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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