National Weather Service guidance and supporting model runs project a high near 95–96°F at Houston’s Hobby Airport on August 30 under dominant high pressure, light southeast winds, and mostly sunny skies with only a slight afternoon thunderstorm chance. This consensus, several degrees above the late-August climatological average of roughly 92°F, drives the tight market clustering on the 94–97°F bins. Minor uncertainty stems from the precise timing and coverage of any isolated convection, which could briefly increase cloud cover and cap the peak one or two degrees lower, versus uninterrupted insolation that would favor the upper end of the range. Heat indices near 106–107°F reflect elevated dew points but do not alter the dry-bulb maximum used for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on August 30?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 30?
94-95°F 48%
96-97°F 41%
92-93°F 12%
98-99°F 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
12%
94-95°F
48%
96-97°F
41%
98-99°F
3%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 48%
96-97°F 41%
92-93°F 12%
98-99°F 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
83°F or below
$347 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$194 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$199 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$309 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$163 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$768 Vol.
12%
94-95°F
$2,260 Vol.
48%
96-97°F
$1,453 Vol.
41%
98-99°F
$691 Vol.
3%
100-101°F
$707 Vol.
<1%
102°F or higher
$314 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service guidance and supporting model runs project a high near 95–96°F at Houston’s Hobby Airport on August 30 under dominant high pressure, light southeast winds, and mostly sunny skies with only a slight afternoon thunderstorm chance. This consensus, several degrees above the late-August climatological average of roughly 92°F, drives the tight market clustering on the 94–97°F bins. Minor uncertainty stems from the precise timing and coverage of any isolated convection, which could briefly increase cloud cover and cap the peak one or two degrees lower, versus uninterrupted insolation that would favor the upper end of the range. Heat indices near 106–107°F reflect elevated dew points but do not alter the dry-bulb maximum used for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Volume
$7,406End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service guidance and supporting model runs project a high near 95–96°F at Houston’s Hobby Airport on August 30 under dominant high pressure, light southeast winds, and mostly sunny skies with only a slight afternoon thunderstorm chance. This consensus, several degrees above the late-August climatological average of roughly 92°F, drives the tight market clustering on the 94–97°F bins. Minor uncertainty stems from the precise timing and coverage of any isolated convection, which could briefly increase cloud cover and cap the peak one or two degrees lower, versus uninterrupted insolation that would favor the upper end of the range. Heat indices near 106–107°F reflect elevated dew points but do not alter the dry-bulb maximum used for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,406End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service guidance and supporting model runs project a high near 95–96°F at Houston’s Hobby Airport on August 30 under dominant high pressure, light southeast winds, and mostly sunny skies with only a slight afternoon thunderstorm chance. This consensus, several degrees above the late-August climatological average of roughly 92°F, drives the tight market clustering on the 94–97°F bins. Minor uncertainty stems from the precise timing and coverage of any isolated convection, which could briefly increase cloud cover and cap the peak one or two degrees lower, versus uninterrupted insolation that would favor the upper end of the range. Heat indices near 106–107°F reflect elevated dew points but do not alter the dry-bulb maximum used for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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