**Forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple models indicate a high near 99–100°F under sunny skies with light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover.** This setup favors the leading 98–99°F bin (63.5% implied probability), as surface heating peaks in the late afternoon amid typical late-August Central Texas conditions: high pressure, dew points in the low-to-mid 70s, and heat indices approaching 104°F. The secondary 100–101°F outcome (21%) reflects slight upside from model spread or localized urban heat effects, while the 16.5% on 96–97°F accounts for any earlier cooling or measurement variance at official stations. No significant weather systems are expected to alter the trajectory before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Austin on August 29?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 29?
98-99°F 65%
100-101°F 21%
96-97°F 16%
94-95°F 2%
$12,341 Vol.
$12,341 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
16%
98-99°F
65%
100-101°F
21%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 65%
100-101°F 21%
96-97°F 16%
94-95°F 2%
$12,341 Vol.
$12,341 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
89°F or below
$1,299 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$574 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$375 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$639 Vol.
2%
96-97°F
$1,791 Vol.
16%
98-99°F
$3,775 Vol.
65%
100-101°F
$2,670 Vol.
21%
102-103°F
$520 Vol.
2%
104-105°F
$312 Vol.
<1%
106-107°F
$120 Vol.
<1%
108°F or higher
$267 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple models indicate a high near 99–100°F under sunny skies with light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover.** This setup favors the leading 98–99°F bin (63.5% implied probability), as surface heating peaks in the late afternoon amid typical late-August Central Texas conditions: high pressure, dew points in the low-to-mid 70s, and heat indices approaching 104°F. The secondary 100–101°F outcome (21%) reflects slight upside from model spread or localized urban heat effects, while the 16.5% on 96–97°F accounts for any earlier cooling or measurement variance at official stations. No significant weather systems are expected to alter the trajectory before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$12,341End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple models indicate a high near 99–100°F under sunny skies with light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover.** This setup favors the leading 98–99°F bin (63.5% implied probability), as surface heating peaks in the late afternoon amid typical late-August Central Texas conditions: high pressure, dew points in the low-to-mid 70s, and heat indices approaching 104°F. The secondary 100–101°F outcome (21%) reflects slight upside from model spread or localized urban heat effects, while the 16.5% on 96–97°F accounts for any earlier cooling or measurement variance at official stations. No significant weather systems are expected to alter the trajectory before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,341End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple models indicate a high near 99–100°F under sunny skies with light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover.** This setup favors the leading 98–99°F bin (63.5% implied probability), as surface heating peaks in the late afternoon amid typical late-August Central Texas conditions: high pressure, dew points in the low-to-mid 70s, and heat indices approaching 104°F. The secondary 100–101°F outcome (21%) reflects slight upside from model spread or localized urban heat effects, while the 16.5% on 96–97°F accounts for any earlier cooling or measurement variance at official stations. No significant weather systems are expected to alter the trajectory before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions