**Clear skies and light southerly winds overnight are allowing radiational cooling to drive Austin’s minimum temperature into the low-to-mid 70s on August 29, 2026.** National Weather Service forecasts and multiple models project a low near 73–77 °F under high pressure with minimal cloud cover and dew points in the low 70s, limiting further cooling. This places the expected minimum squarely in the 70–71 °F range that commands 88 % market-implied probability. Recent clearing after mid-week showers removed daytime cloud cover that had previously suppressed overnight drops, while late-summer climatology (typical August lows near 72–75 °F at Austin-Bergstrom) supports the consensus. No major frontal systems or tropical moisture are expected to alter the pattern before midnight, keeping upside risk for warmer readings below 1 % and the probability of sub-70 °F readings limited to the 4–5 % tail.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Austin on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Austin on August 29?
70-71°F 94%
67°F or below 9%
68-69°F 2%
72-73°F <1%
$3,655 Vol.
$3,655 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
67°F or below
9%
68-69°F
8%
70-71°F
88%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 94%
67°F or below 9%
68-69°F 2%
72-73°F <1%
$3,655 Vol.
$3,655 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
67°F or below
$106 Vol.
9%
68-69°F
$61 Vol.
8%
70-71°F
$253 Vol.
88%
72-73°F
$529 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$291 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$84 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$60 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$112 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$1,745 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$297 Vol.
<1%
86°F or higher
$117 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and light southerly winds overnight are allowing radiational cooling to drive Austin’s minimum temperature into the low-to-mid 70s on August 29, 2026.** National Weather Service forecasts and multiple models project a low near 73–77 °F under high pressure with minimal cloud cover and dew points in the low 70s, limiting further cooling. This places the expected minimum squarely in the 70–71 °F range that commands 88 % market-implied probability. Recent clearing after mid-week showers removed daytime cloud cover that had previously suppressed overnight drops, while late-summer climatology (typical August lows near 72–75 °F at Austin-Bergstrom) supports the consensus. No major frontal systems or tropical moisture are expected to alter the pattern before midnight, keeping upside risk for warmer readings below 1 % and the probability of sub-70 °F readings limited to the 4–5 % tail.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$3,655End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and light southerly winds overnight are allowing radiational cooling to drive Austin’s minimum temperature into the low-to-mid 70s on August 29, 2026.** National Weather Service forecasts and multiple models project a low near 73–77 °F under high pressure with minimal cloud cover and dew points in the low 70s, limiting further cooling. This places the expected minimum squarely in the 70–71 °F range that commands 88 % market-implied probability. Recent clearing after mid-week showers removed daytime cloud cover that had previously suppressed overnight drops, while late-summer climatology (typical August lows near 72–75 °F at Austin-Bergstrom) supports the consensus. No major frontal systems or tropical moisture are expected to alter the pattern before midnight, keeping upside risk for warmer readings below 1 % and the probability of sub-70 °F readings limited to the 4–5 % tail.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,655End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Clear skies and light southerly winds overnight are allowing radiational cooling to drive Austin’s minimum temperature into the low-to-mid 70s on August 29, 2026.** National Weather Service forecasts and multiple models project a low near 73–77 °F under high pressure with minimal cloud cover and dew points in the low 70s, limiting further cooling. This places the expected minimum squarely in the 70–71 °F range that commands 88 % market-implied probability. Recent clearing after mid-week showers removed daytime cloud cover that had previously suppressed overnight drops, while late-summer climatology (typical August lows near 72–75 °F at Austin-Bergstrom) supports the consensus. No major frontal systems or tropical moisture are expected to alter the pattern before midnight, keeping upside risk for warmer readings below 1 % and the probability of sub-70 °F readings limited to the 4–5 % tail.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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