Lula maintains a commanding lead in Ceará for first place in the October 4 first round, reflecting the state's position within the Northeast's consistent voting patterns favoring the Workers' Party candidate. Incumbency advantages, established social program delivery, and regional polling trends reinforce this positioning ahead of the vote. Other contenders, including Flávio Bolsonaro and names such as Ronaldo Caiado or Romeu Zema, register minimal traction in the state despite national visibility. Trader consensus prices reflect these structural factors, with limited movement in recent months. Late developments such as major scandals, shifts in alliances, or unexpected turnout changes among key demographics could still alter the outcome before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLula 93.1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 3.7%
Edmilson Costa <1%
Samara <1%
$10,353 Vol.
$10,353 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
93%
Flavio Bolsonaro
4%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Samara
<1%
Zema
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Lula 93.1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 3.7%
Edmilson Costa <1%
Samara <1%
$10,353 Vol.
$10,353 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
$4,775 Vol.
93%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$797 Vol.
4%
Edmilson Costa
$437 Vol.
<1%
Samara
$417 Vol.
<1%
Zema
$427 Vol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$367 Vol.
<1%
Clariana Barao
$437 Vol.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$612 Vol.
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$367 Vol.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$427 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$357 Vol.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$467 Vol.
<1%
Renan Santos
$468 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Ceará, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Ceará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Ceará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in Ceará for first place in the October 4 first round, reflecting the state's position within the Northeast's consistent voting patterns favoring the Workers' Party candidate. Incumbency advantages, established social program delivery, and regional polling trends reinforce this positioning ahead of the vote. Other contenders, including Flávio Bolsonaro and names such as Ronaldo Caiado or Romeu Zema, register minimal traction in the state despite national visibility. Trader consensus prices reflect these structural factors, with limited movement in recent months. Late developments such as major scandals, shifts in alliances, or unexpected turnout changes among key demographics could still alter the outcome before election day.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Ceará, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Ceará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Ceará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Ceará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Ceará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:26 AM ET
Volume
$10,353End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:26 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Ceará, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Ceará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Ceará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in Ceará for first place in the October 4 first round, reflecting the state's position within the Northeast's consistent voting patterns favoring the Workers' Party candidate. Incumbency advantages, established social program delivery, and regional polling trends reinforce this positioning ahead of the vote. Other contenders, including Flávio Bolsonaro and names such as Ronaldo Caiado or Romeu Zema, register minimal traction in the state despite national visibility. Trader consensus prices reflect these structural factors, with limited movement in recent months. Late developments such as major scandals, shifts in alliances, or unexpected turnout changes among key demographics could still alter the outcome before election day.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Ceará, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Ceará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Ceará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Ceará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Ceará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$10,353End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:26 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lula maintains a commanding lead in Ceará for first place in the October 4 first round, reflecting the state's position within the Northeast's consistent voting patterns favoring the Workers' Party candidate. Incumbency advantages, established social program delivery, and regional polling trends reinforce this positioning ahead of the vote. Other contenders, including Flávio Bolsonaro and names such as Ronaldo Caiado or Romeu Zema, register minimal traction in the state despite national visibility. Trader consensus prices reflect these structural factors, with limited movement in recent months. Late developments such as major scandals, shifts in alliances, or unexpected turnout changes among key demographics could still alter the outcome before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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