National Weather Service forecasts and model guidance for August 29, 2026, highlight scattered showers and thunderstorms driven by a cold front over parts of Europe, monsoonal moisture across the U.S. Southwest and Great Basin, and diurnal heating in the Northern Plains and Pacific Northwest. High pressure supports mostly dry conditions in the eastern U.S. and parts of the Midwest, with slight excessive rainfall risks noted in burn scar areas. Traders focus on official NWS probability of precipitation products, radar observations, and 6-hour QPF guidance to assess measurable rain thresholds at resolution locations, as short-term model shifts in frontal timing or convective initiation can alter local outcomes before daily totals finalize.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhere will it rain on August 29?
New York, NY
21%
Los Angeles, CA
11%
Chicago, IL
55%
Houston, TX
48%
Dallas, TX
14%
Phoenix, AZ
40%
Philadelphia, PA
14%
Denver, CO
68%
Washington, DC
16%
Atlanta, GA
46%
Miami, FL
99%
Seattle, WA
87%
Boston, MA
14%
New Orleans, LA
24%
San Francisco, CA
14%
$68 Vol.
New York, NY
21%
Los Angeles, CA
11%
Chicago, IL
55%
Houston, TX
48%
Dallas, TX
14%
Phoenix, AZ
40%
Philadelphia, PA
14%
Denver, CO
68%
Washington, DC
16%
Atlanta, GA
46%
Miami, FL
99%
Seattle, WA
87%
Boston, MA
14%
New Orleans, LA
24%
San Francisco, CA
14%
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 7:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...National Weather Service forecasts and model guidance for August 29, 2026, highlight scattered showers and thunderstorms driven by a cold front over parts of Europe, monsoonal moisture across the U.S. Southwest and Great Basin, and diurnal heating in the Northern Plains and Pacific Northwest. High pressure supports mostly dry conditions in the eastern U.S. and parts of the Midwest, with slight excessive rainfall risks noted in burn scar areas. Traders focus on official NWS probability of precipitation products, radar observations, and 6-hour QPF guidance to assess measurable rain thresholds at resolution locations, as short-term model shifts in frontal timing or convective initiation can alter local outcomes before daily totals finalize.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions