On August 28, 2026, observed rainfall patterns reflected regional monsoon dynamics and scattered convective activity, with official reports from agencies such as India's IMD, Vietnam's national meteorological center, the U.S. National Weather Service, and others documenting measurable precipitation in parts of South and Southeast Asia, the northern U.S. Plains and Rockies, and isolated eastern U.S. and European locations. Tropical moisture and afternoon heating drove thunderstorms and localized heavy rain in many areas, while high-pressure systems suppressed totals in the northeastern U.S. and parts of California, producing no measurable amounts at sites like New York airports and Sacramento. Model consensus and climatological baselines for late-summer convection informed trader assessments of resolution thresholds, with post-event verification from surface observations and radar estimates now shaping final market-implied odds ahead of any remaining data releases.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhere will it rain on August 28?
$2,876 Vol.
New York, NY
3%
Los Angeles, CA
2%
Chicago, IL
15%
Houston, TX
100%
Dallas, TX
25%
Phoenix, AZ
4%
Philadelphia, PA
18%
Denver, CO
22%
Washington, DC
7%
Atlanta, GA
50%
Miami, FL
23%
Seattle, WA
49%
Boston, MA
24%
New Orleans, LA
6%
San Francisco, CA
6%
$2,876 Vol.
New York, NY
3%
Los Angeles, CA
2%
Chicago, IL
15%
Houston, TX
100%
Dallas, TX
25%
Phoenix, AZ
4%
Philadelphia, PA
18%
Denver, CO
22%
Washington, DC
7%
Atlanta, GA
50%
Miami, FL
23%
Seattle, WA
49%
Boston, MA
24%
New Orleans, LA
6%
San Francisco, CA
6%
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the most recent CLI report published for the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 7:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the most recent CLI report published for the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...On August 28, 2026, observed rainfall patterns reflected regional monsoon dynamics and scattered convective activity, with official reports from agencies such as India's IMD, Vietnam's national meteorological center, the U.S. National Weather Service, and others documenting measurable precipitation in parts of South and Southeast Asia, the northern U.S. Plains and Rockies, and isolated eastern U.S. and European locations. Tropical moisture and afternoon heating drove thunderstorms and localized heavy rain in many areas, while high-pressure systems suppressed totals in the northeastern U.S. and parts of California, producing no measurable amounts at sites like New York airports and Sacramento. Model consensus and climatological baselines for late-summer convection informed trader assessments of resolution thresholds, with post-event verification from surface observations and radar estimates now shaping final market-implied odds ahead of any remaining data releases.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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