Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting models indicate a minimum temperature of 25°C for Incheon on August 29, 2026, under mostly cloudy conditions with light rain and moderate northeasterly winds that limited overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with observed temperatures stabilizing near 24–26°C through the night and historical late-August baselines around 22–23°C being exceeded due to persistent humidity and cloud cover. The 98.5% market-implied probability for 25°C reflects trader consensus on these verified agency data and minimal forecast divergence. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected clear-sky window or localized measurement variance at the official station exceeding typical observational error margins of 0.5–1°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 29?
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$11,651 Vol.
$11,651 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$11,651 Vol.
$11,651 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
19°C or below
$1,575 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$341 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$485 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$909 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,520 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,685 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,989 Vol.
100%
26°C
$1,594 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$188 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$183 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$183 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting models indicate a minimum temperature of 25°C for Incheon on August 29, 2026, under mostly cloudy conditions with light rain and moderate northeasterly winds that limited overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with observed temperatures stabilizing near 24–26°C through the night and historical late-August baselines around 22–23°C being exceeded due to persistent humidity and cloud cover. The 98.5% market-implied probability for 25°C reflects trader consensus on these verified agency data and minimal forecast divergence. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected clear-sky window or localized measurement variance at the official station exceeding typical observational error margins of 0.5–1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$11,651End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting models indicate a minimum temperature of 25°C for Incheon on August 29, 2026, under mostly cloudy conditions with light rain and moderate northeasterly winds that limited overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with observed temperatures stabilizing near 24–26°C through the night and historical late-August baselines around 22–23°C being exceeded due to persistent humidity and cloud cover. The 98.5% market-implied probability for 25°C reflects trader consensus on these verified agency data and minimal forecast divergence. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected clear-sky window or localized measurement variance at the official station exceeding typical observational error margins of 0.5–1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,651End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting models indicate a minimum temperature of 25°C for Incheon on August 29, 2026, under mostly cloudy conditions with light rain and moderate northeasterly winds that limited overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with observed temperatures stabilizing near 24–26°C through the night and historical late-August baselines around 22–23°C being exceeded due to persistent humidity and cloud cover. The 98.5% market-implied probability for 25°C reflects trader consensus on these verified agency data and minimal forecast divergence. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected clear-sky window or localized measurement variance at the official station exceeding typical observational error margins of 0.5–1°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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